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Does criminal violence spread? Contagion and counter-contagion mechanisms of piracy
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Di Salvatore, Jessica (2018) Does criminal violence spread? Contagion and counter-contagion mechanisms of piracy. Political Geography, 66 . pp. 14-33. doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2018.07.004 ISSN 0962-6298.
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2018.07.004
Abstract
Research shows that political and criminal violence cluster spatially but neglects the wide range of mechanisms driving contagion and, more importantly, the role of counter-contagion efforts. After identifying permissive conditions for piracy, I hypothesize that piracy clusters in locations conducive to successful attacks. Pirates engage in risk-reducing behaviour: they return to areas where they have been previously successful but also adapt this learning-based decision to constraints imposed by EU counter-piracy. The analysis relies on uniquely detailed data on piracy and counter-piracy in monthly grid-cells off Somalia (2005-2013). Results show that although successful attacks foster more attacks and contagion, EU counter-piracy reduces contagion. Even within most successful locations, rescue operations reduce incidence of piracy by 89% in the following month. The article contributes to existing contagion/diffusion literature by identifying specific channels of contagion (contiguity and learning) and by factoring in containment policies that can limit and reduce criminal and political violence.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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| Subjects: | G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General) | ||||||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies | ||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Pirates -- Somali, Political violence, Piracy | ||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Political Geography | ||||||||
| Publisher: | Elsevier Science Inc. | ||||||||
| ISSN: | 0962-6298 | ||||||||
| Official Date: | September 2018 | ||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 66 | ||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 14-33 | ||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.polgeo.2018.07.004 | ||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 4 July 2018 | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 17 July 2020 | ||||||||
| Related URLs: |
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