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Evaluating multivariate forecast densities: a comparison of two approaches

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UNSPECIFIED (2002) Evaluating multivariate forecast densities: a comparison of two approaches. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 18 (3). pp. 397-407. ISSN 0169-2070

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Abstract

We consider methods of evaluating multivariate density forecasts. A recently proposed method is found to lack power when the correlation structure is mis-specified. Tests that have good power to detect mis-specifications of this sort are described. We also consider the properties of the tests in the presence of more general mis-specifications. (C) 2002 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Journal or Publication Title: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
Publisher: ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
ISSN: 0169-2070
Date: July 2002
Volume: 18
Number: 3
Number of Pages: 11
Page Range: pp. 397-407
Publication Status: Published
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/10657

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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