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Information sampling, judgment, and the environment : application to the effect of popularity on evaluations

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Le Mens, Gaël, Denrell, Jerker, Kovács, Balázs and Karaman, Hülya (2019) Information sampling, judgment, and the environment : application to the effect of popularity on evaluations. Topics in Cognitive Science, 11 (2). pp. 358-373. doi:10.1111/tops.12387 ISSN 1756-8757.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/tops.12387

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Abstract

If people avoid alternatives they dislike, a negative evaluative bias emerges because errors of under‐evaluation are unlikely to be corrected. Prior work that analyzed this mechanism has shown that when the social environment exposes people to avoided alternatives (i.e., it makes them resample them), then evaluations can become systematically more positive. In this paper, we clarify the conditions under which this happens. By analyzing a simple learning model, we show that whether additional exposures induced by the social environment lead to more positive or more negative evaluations depends on how prior evaluations and the social environment interact in driving resampling. We apply these insights to the study of the effect of popularity on evaluations. We show theoretically that increased popularity leads to more positive evaluations when popularity mainly increases the chances of resampling for individuals with low current evaluations. Data on repeat stays at hotels are consistent with this condition: The popularity of a hotel mainly impacts the chances of a repeat stay for individuals with low satisfaction scores. Our results illustrate how a sampling approach can help to explain when and why people tend to like popular alternatives. They also shed new light on the polarization of attitudes across social groups.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: T Technology > TX Home economics
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School > Behavioural Science
Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Hotels, Prejudices, Popularity
Journal or Publication Title: Topics in Cognitive Science
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc.
ISSN: 1756-8757
Official Date: April 2019
Dates:
DateEvent
April 2019Published
22 October 2018Available
13 June 2018Accepted
Volume: 11
Number: 2
Page Range: pp. 358-373
DOI: 10.1111/tops.12387
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 20 August 2018
Date of first compliant Open Access: 22 October 2020
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
#AEI/FEDER UE-PSI2016-75353[MINECO] Ministerio de Economía y Competitividadhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329
#RYC-2014-15035[MINECO] Ministerio de Economía y Competitividadhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329
#CAS15/00225Ministerio de Educación, Cultura y Deportehttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003176
#IN[15]_EFG_ECO_2281Fundación BBVAhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100007406
UNSPECIFIEDEmory Universityhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100006939
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