Bohmelt, Tobias , Bove, Vincenzo and Skrede Gleditsch, Kristian (2018) Blame the victims? : refugees, state capacity, and non-state actor violence. Journal of Peace Research . (In Press)

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Abstract

Existing research argues that refugee in ows may increase the risk of domestic con ict, particularly civil war that, by de nition, involves the state as an actor. However, many of the postulated mechanisms linking refugees to a higher risk of such con ict pertain to tensions with locals, which do not necessarily involve any grievances against government authorities. We contend that it is more likely to identify an association between refugees and non-state actor violence, i.e., armed violence between organized non-state groups, neither of which pertains to the state. We also claim that the extent to which refugees are associated with a higher likelihood of non-state con ict depends on the capacity of governments to manage and mitigate risks. We report evidence that refugee populations can be linked to an increased risk of non-state con ict, as well as for a mitigating e ect of state capacity on the risk of non-state con icts in the presence of refugees. We do not nd a clear e ect of refugee populations on civil war, suggesting that the link depends on existing con ict cleavages relevant to mobilizing refugees or locals. Our research helps to shed light on the relevant security consequences of managing refugee populations. Despite the common arguments portraying refugees as security risks in developed countries, the risk of non-state con ict applies primarily to weak states that have been forced to shoulder a disproportionate burden in hosting refugees

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	J Political Science > JC Political theory
Divisions:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Civil war, Refugees, Social conflict, Non-state actors (International relations), Ethnic conflict, Institutional economics, Refugees -- Government policy
Journal or Publication Title:	Journal of Peace Research
Publisher:	Sage Publications Ltd.
ISSN:	0022-3433
Official Date:	28 August 2018
Dates:	Date Event 28 August 2018 Accepted
Date of first compliant deposit:	29 August 2018
Status:	Peer Reviewed
Publication Status:	In Press
Publisher Statement:	Posted ahead of print. Bohmelt, Tobias , Bove, Vincenzo and Skrede Gleditsch, Kristian (2018) Blame the victims? Refugees, state capacity, and non-state actor violence. Journal of Peace Research. Copyright © 2018 (Copyright Holder). Reprinted by permission of SAGE Publications. DOI: [DOI]
Access rights to Published version:	Restricted or Subscription Access
Copyright Holders:	The Author(s)
Related URLs:	Publisher

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