Skip to content Skip to navigation
University of Warwick
  • Study
  • |
  • Research
  • |
  • Business
  • |
  • Alumni
  • |
  • News
  • |
  • About

University of Warwick
Publications service & WRAP

Highlight your research

  • WRAP
    • Home
    • Search WRAP
    • Browse by Warwick Author
    • Browse WRAP by Year
    • Browse WRAP by Subject
    • Browse WRAP by Department
    • Browse WRAP by Funder
    • Browse Theses by Department
  • Publications Service
    • Home
    • Search Publications Service
    • Browse by Warwick Author
    • Browse Publications service by Year
    • Browse Publications service by Subject
    • Browse Publications service by Department
    • Browse Publications service by Funder
  • Help & Advice
University of Warwick

The Library

  • Login
  • Admin

Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential

Tools
- Tools
+ Tools

Wright, George, Cairns, George, O'Brien, Frances A. and Goodwin, Paul (2018) Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential. European Journal of Operational Research . doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2018.08.035 (In Press)

[img] PDF
WRAP-scenario-analysis-addressing-wicked-pitfalls-potential-OBrien-2018.pdf - Accepted Version
Embargoed item. Restricted access to Repository staff only until 29 August 2020. Contact author directly, specifying your specific needs. - Requires a PDF viewer.

Download (1169Kb)
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2018.08.035

Request Changes to record.

Abstract

This paper provides a review and evaluation of the use of scenario methods from the Intuitive Logics (IL) school to address so-called ‘wicked problems’. Scenario planning has been widely advocated by its practitioners and its popularity has increased in the practice arena since the Millennium. However, some academics have described the technique as an ‘art’ that lacks theoretical and methodological rigour. Over recent years, academics have responded to this critique, drawing on both empirical and conceptual studies. This has led to a multiplicity of augmented IL scenario methods. Here, we review these developments and compare them to soft OR methods as a means of tackling wicked problems, drawing, in particular, on Churchman's moral imperative that we must address the whole problem, not merely ‘carve off’ one part. We conclude that IL scenario planning can be a useful tool in the OR practitioner's tool kit and that it can complement many of the established soft OR methods.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
T Technology > T Technology (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Operations research, Problem solving -- Social aspects, Business enterprises -- Planning -- Methodology
Journal or Publication Title: European Journal of Operational Research
Publisher: Elsevier Science BV
ISSN: 0377-2217
Official Date: 29 August 2018
Dates:
DateEvent
29 August 2018Available
20 August 2018Accepted
Date of first compliant deposit: 6 September 2018
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.08.035
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: In Press
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access

Request changes or add full text files to a record

Repository staff actions (login required)

View Item View Item
twitter

Email us: wrap@warwick.ac.uk
Contact Details
About Us