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Bayesian inference of the evolution of a phenotype distribution on a phylogenetic tree

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Ansari, M. Azim and Didelot, Xavier (2016) Bayesian inference of the evolution of a phenotype distribution on a phylogenetic tree. Genetics, 204 (1). pp. 89-98. doi:10.1534/genetics.116.190496

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1534/genetics.116.190496

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Abstract

The distribution of a phenotype on a phylogenetic tree is often a quantity of interest. Many phenotypes have imperfect heritability, so that a measurement of the phenotype for an individual can be thought of as a single realization from the phenotype distribution of that individual. If all individuals in a phylogeny had the same phenotype distribution, measured phenotypes would be randomly distributed on the tree leaves. This is, however, often not the case, implying that the phenotype distribution evolves over time. Here we propose a new model based on this principle of evolving phenotype distribution on the branches of a phylogeny, which is different from ancestral state reconstruction where the phenotype itself is assumed to evolve. We develop an efficient Bayesian inference method to estimate the parameters of our model and to test the evidence for changes in the phenotype distribution. We use multiple simulated data sets to show that our algorithm has good sensitivity and specificity properties. Since our method identifies branches on the tree on which the phenotype distribution has changed, it is able to break down a tree into components for which this distribution is unique and constant. We present two applications of our method, one investigating the association between HIV genetic variation and human leukocyte antigen and the other studying host range distribution in a lineage of Salmonella enterica, and we discuss many other potential applications.

Item Type: Journal Article
Divisions: Faculty of Science > Life Sciences (2010- )
Journal or Publication Title: Genetics
Publisher: Genetics Society of America
ISSN: 0016-6731
Official Date: September 2016
Dates:
DateEvent
September 2016Published
7 July 2016Accepted
Volume: 204
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 89-98
DOI: 10.1534/genetics.116.190496
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
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