The Library
The race to the base
Tools
Tools
Tools
Bernhardt, Dan, Buisseret, Peter and Hidir, Sinem (2018) The race to the base. Working Paper. Coventry, UK: University of Warwick. Department of Economics. Warwick economics research papers series (WERPS) (1180). (Unpublished)
|
PDF
WRAP-twerp-1180-Hidir.pdf - Accepted Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Download (1957Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/w...
Abstract
We study multi-district legislative elections between two office-seeking parties when the election pits a relatively strong party against a weaker party ; when each party faces uncertainty about how voter preferences will evolve during the campaign; and, when each party cares not only about winning a majority, but also about its share of seats in the event that it holds majority or minority status. When the initial imbalance favoring one party is small, each party targets the median voter in the median district, in pursuit of a majority. When the imbalance is moderate, the advantaged party continues to hold the centre-ground, but the disadvantaged party retreats to target its core supporters; it does so to fortify its minority share of seats in the likely event that it fails to secure a majority. Finally, when the imbalance is large, the advantaged party advances toward its opponent, raiding its moderate supporters in pursuit of an outsized majority.
| Item Type: | Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subjects: | J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General) | ||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics | ||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Elections -- Mathematical models, Political parties | ||||
| Series Name: | Warwick economics research papers series (WERPS) | ||||
| Publisher: | University of Warwick. Department of Economics | ||||
| Place of Publication: | Coventry, UK | ||||
| ISSN: | 0083-7350 | ||||
| Official Date: | October 2018 | ||||
| Dates: |
|
||||
| Number: | 1180 | ||||
| Number of Pages: | 40 | ||||
| Institution: | University of Warwick | ||||
| Status: | Not Peer Reviewed | ||||
| Publication Status: | Unpublished | ||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||
| Description: | This paper also appears as CRETA Discussion paper 46 |
||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 18 October 2018 | ||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 18 October 2018 |
Request changes or add full text files to a record
Repository staff actions (login required)
 |
View Item |
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
