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Isolating the effect of cycling on local business environments in London

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Klemmer, Konstantin, Brandt, Tobias and Jarvis, Stephen A. (2018) Isolating the effect of cycling on local business environments in London. PLoS One, 13 (12). e0209090. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0209090

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0209090

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Abstract

We investigate whether increasing cycling activity affects the emergence of new local businesses. Historical amenity data from OpenStreetMap is used to quantify change in shop and sustenance amenity counts. We apply an instrumental variable framework to investigate a causal relationship and to account for endogeneity in the model. Measures of cycling infrastructure serve as instruments. The impact is evaluated on the level of 4835 Lower Super Output Areas in Greater London. Our results indicate that an increase in cycling trips significantly contributes to the emergence of new local shops and businesses. Limitations regarding data quality, zero-inflation and residual spatial autocorrelation are discussed. While our findings correspond to previous investigations stating positive economic effects of cycling, we advance research in the field by providing a new dataset of unprecedented high granularity and size. Furthermore, this is the first study in cycling research looking at business amenities as a measure of economic activity. The insights from our analysis can enhance understandings of how cycling affects the development of local urban economies and may thus be used to assess and evaluate transport policies and investments. Beyond this, our study highlights the value of open data in city research.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GV Recreation Leisure
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
Divisions: Faculty of Science > Computer Science
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Cycling -- Economic aspects -- Mathematical models, Business enterprises -- London (England), Stores, Retail -- London (England)
Journal or Publication Title: PLoS One
Publisher: Public Library of Science
ISSN: 1932-6203
Official Date: 20 December 2018
Dates:
DateEvent
20 December 2018Published
29 November 2018Accepted
Volume: 13
Number: 12
Article Number: e0209090
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0209090
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
EP/L016400/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266
EP/N510129/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266
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