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Estimation and selection of spatial weight matrix in a spatial lag model

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Lam, Clifford and Souza, Pedro C. L. (2019) Estimation and selection of spatial weight matrix in a spatial lag model. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , 38 (3). pp. 693-710. doi:10.1080/07350015.2019.1569526 ISSN 0735-0015.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2019.1569526

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Abstract

Spatial econometric models allow for interactions among variables through the specification of a spatial weight matrix. Practitioners often face the risk of misspecification of such a matrix. In many problems a number of potential specifications exist, such as geographic distances, or various economic quantities among variables. We propose estimating the best linear combination of these specifications, added with a potentially sparse adjustment matrix. The coefficients in the linear combination, together with the sparse adjustment matrix, are subjected to variable selection through the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). As a special case, if no spatial weight matrices are specified, the sparse adjustment matrix becomes a sparse spatial weight matrix estimator of our model. Our method can therefore, be seen as a unified framework for the estimation and selection of a spatial weight matrix. The rate of convergence of all proposed estimators are determined when the number of time series variables can grow faster than the number of time points for data, while oracle properties for all penalized estimators are presented. Simulations and an application to stocks data confirms the good performance of our procedure.

Item Type: Journal Article
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Publisher: Routledge
ISSN: 0735-0015
Official Date: 22 May 2019
Dates:
DateEvent
22 May 2019Published
3 January 2019Accepted
Volume: 38
Number: 3
Page Range: pp. 693-710
DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2019.1569526
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Reuse Statement (publisher, data, author rights): This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics on 22 May 2019, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/07350015.2019.1569526
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 4 January 2019
Date of first compliant Open Access: 22 May 2020
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