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Public confidence and crime reduction : the impact of forensic property marking
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Hodgson, Jacqueline, Wade, Kimberley A., Stewart, Neil, Hearty, Kevin, Kyneswood, Natalie, Quispe Torreblanca, Edika and Mullett, Timothy L. (2018) Public confidence and crime reduction : the impact of forensic property marking. Coventry, UK : Centre for Operational Police Research, University of Warwick.
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Abstract
West Mercia Police treated domestic dwellings with Smartwater and their own We Don’t Buy Crime (WDBC) campaign. The campaign included prominent signage. Using crime statistics, we estimate that the treatment is associated with a reduction of domestic dwelling burglary of between approximately 10-50%. However, whilst we see the treatment coincides with a reduction in domestic burglary, we cannot say that the treatment “caused” the reduction in burglary. This is because (a) the treatment was not randomly allocated to sites (as would have been the case if this were a gold-standard randomised controlled trial) and (b) the incidence of burglary is too low to be confident when comparing crime trends in treated and untreated areas. Using a survey of residents, we see that reduced fear of crime and increased confidence in policing are associated with awareness of the WDBC / Smartwater treatment. While we cannot rule out a causal effect where Smartwater / WDBC causes these improvements, it may merely be that those most aware of the police are least fearful and most confident. Work at COPR continues, widening the assessment of treatments to other police forces.
| Item Type: | Report | ||||||
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| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare | ||||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Law Faculty of Science > Psychology Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School |
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| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Burglary -- Prevention -- Herefordshire (England), Burglary -- Prevention -- Shropshire (England), Burglary -- Prevention -- Worcestershire (England), West Mercia Constabulary | ||||||
| Publisher: | Centre for Operational Police Research, University of Warwick | ||||||
| Place of Publication: | Coventry, UK | ||||||
| Official Date: | 1 November 2018 | ||||||
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| Status: | Not Peer Reviewed | ||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access | ||||||
| RIOXX Funder/Project Grant: |
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