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Bernhardt, Dan, Buisseret, Peter and Hidir, Sinem (2020) The race to the base. American Economic Review, 110 (3). pp. 922-942. doi:10.1257/aer.20181606
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20181606
Abstract
We study multi-district legislative elections between two office-seeking parties when one party has an initial valence advantage that may shift and even reverse during the campaign; and, each party cares not only about winning a majority, but also about its share of seats. When the initial imbalance favoring one party is small, each party targets the median voter. For moderate imbalances, the advantaged party maintains the centre-ground, but the disadvantaged party retreats to target its core supporters; and for large imbalances, the advantaged party advances toward its opponent, raiding its moderate supporters in pursuit of an outsized majority.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics | ||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | American Economic Review | ||||||||
| Publisher: | American Economic Association | ||||||||
| ISSN: | 0002-8282 | ||||||||
| Official Date: | March 2020 | ||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 110 | ||||||||
| Number: | 3 | ||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 922-942 | ||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1257/aer.20181606 | ||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Publisher Statement: | Copyright © 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 by the American Economic Association. Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of American Economic Association publications for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not distributed for profit or direct commercial advantage and that copies show this notice on the first page or initial screen of a display along with the full citation, including the name of the author. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than AEA must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. The author has the right to republish, post on servers, redistribute to lists and use any component of this work in other works. For others to do so requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Permissions may be requested from the American Economic Association Administrative Office by going to the Contact Us form and choosing "Copyright/Permissions Request" from the menu. Copyright © 2019 AEA | ||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
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