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Negative voters? Electoral competition with loss-aversion
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Lockwood, Ben and Rockey, James (2020) Negative voters? Electoral competition with loss-aversion. Economic Journal, 130 (632). pp. 2619-2648. ueaa037. doi:10.1093/ej/ueaa037 ISSN 0013-0133.
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueaa037
Abstract
This paper studies the effect of voter loss-aversion in preferences over both candidate policy platforms and candidate valence on electoral competition. Loss-aversion over platforms leads to both platform rigidity and reduced platform polarisation, whereas loss-aversion over valence results in increased polarization and also the possibility of asymmetric equilibria with a self-fulfilling (dis)-advantage for the incumbent. The results are robust to a stochastic link between platforms and outcomes; they hold approximately for a small amount of noise. A testable implication of loss-aversion over platforms is that incumbents adjust less than challengers to shifts in voter preferences. We find some empirical support for this using data for elections to the US House of Representatives.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subjects: | D History General and Old World > D History (General) J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General) |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics | ||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Votes (People), Elections, Loss aversion, Incumbency (Public officers) | ||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Economic Journal | ||||||||
| Publisher: | Oxford University Press | ||||||||
| ISSN: | 0013-0133 | ||||||||
| Official Date: | November 2020 | ||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 130 | ||||||||
| Number: | 632 | ||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 2619-2648 | ||||||||
| Article Number: | ueaa037 | ||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1093/ej/ueaa037 | ||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Reuse Statement (publisher, data, author rights): | This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in Economic Journal following peer review. The version of record Ben Lockwood, James Rockey, Negative Voters? Electoral Competition with Loss-Aversion, The Economic Journal, Volume 130, Issue 632, November 2020, Pages 2619–2648, is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueaa037 | ||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 14 January 2020 | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 14 April 2022 | ||||||||
| Related URLs: |
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