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New paradigms in the psychology of reasoning

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Oaksford, Mike and Chater, Nick (2020) New paradigms in the psychology of reasoning. Annual Review of Psychology, 71 (1). pp. 305-330. doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-051132 ISSN 0066-4308.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-05113...

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Abstract

The psychology of verbal reasoning initially compared performance with classical logic. In the last 25 years, a new paradigm has arisen, which focuses on knowledge-rich reasoning for communication and persuasion and is typically modeled using Bayesian probability theory rather than logic. This paradigm provides a new perspective on argumentation, explaining the rational persuasiveness of arguments that are logical fallacies. It also helps explain how and why people stray from logic when given deductive reasoning tasks. What appear to be erroneous responses, when compared against logic, often turn out to be rationally justified when seen in the richer rational framework of the new paradigm. Moreover, the same approach extends naturally to inductive reasoning tasks, in which people extrapolate beyond the data they are given and logic does not readily apply. We outline links between social and individual reasoning and set recent developments in the psychology of reasoning in the wider context of Bayesian cognitive science.

Item Type: Journal Article
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School > Behavioural Science
Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Journal or Publication Title: Annual Review of Psychology
Publisher: Annual Reviews
ISSN: 0066-4308
Official Date: 2020
Dates:
DateEvent
2020Published
12 September 2019Available
12 February 2019Accepted
Volume: 71
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 305-330
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-051132
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 27 January 2020
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