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Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration
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Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Forster, Jonathan J., Smith, Peter W. F., Bijak, Jakub and Raymer, James (2016) Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 179 (4). pp. 1007-1024. doi:10.1111/rssa.12177 ISSN 0964-1998.
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WRAP-integrated-modelling-age-sex-patterns-european-migration-Forster-2016.pdf - Published Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Available under License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0. Download (1453Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12177
Abstract
Age and sex patterns of migration are essential for understanding drivers of population change and heterogeneity of migrant groups. We develop a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate such patterns for international migration in the European Union and European Free Trade Association from 2002 to 2008, which was a period of time when the number of members expanded from 19 to 31 countries. Our model corrects for the inadequacies and inconsistencies in the available data and estimates the missing patterns. The posterior distributions of the age and sex profiles are then combined with a matrix of origin–destination flows, resulting in a synthetic database with measures of uncertainty for migration flows and other model parameters.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics | ||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) | ||||||||
Publisher: | Wiley | ||||||||
ISSN: | 0964-1998 | ||||||||
Official Date: | 28 September 2016 | ||||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 179 | ||||||||
Number: | 4 | ||||||||
Page Range: | pp. 1007-1024 | ||||||||
DOI: | 10.1111/rssa.12177 | ||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 28 January 2020 | ||||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 28 January 2020 | ||||||||
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