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Two new approaches for the visualisation of models for network meta-analysis

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Law, Martin, Alam, Navid, Veroniki, Areti Angeliki, Yu, Yi and Jackson, Dan (2019) Two new approaches for the visualisation of models for network meta-analysis. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 19 (1). doi:10.1186/s12874-019-0689-9 ISSN 1471-2288.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-019-0689-9

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Abstract

Background
Meta-analysis is a useful tool for combining evidence from multiple studies to estimate a pooled treatment effect. An extension of meta-analysis, network meta-analysis, is becoming more commonly used as a way to simultaneously compare multiple treatments in a single analysis. Despite the variety of approaches available for presenting fitted models, ascertaining an intuitive understanding of these models is often difficult. This is especially challenging in large networks with many different treatments. Here we propose two visualisation methods, so that network meta-analysis models can be more easily interpreted.

Methods
Our methods can be used irrespective of the statistical model or the estimation method used and are grounded in network analysis. We define three types of distance measures between the treatments that contribute to the network. These three distance measures are based on 1) the estimated treatment effects, 2) their standard errors and 3) the corresponding p-values. Then, by using a suitable threshold, we categorise some treatment pairs as being “close” (short distances). Treatments that are close are regarded as “connected” in the network analysis theory. Finally, we group the treatments into communities using standard methods for network analysis. We are then able to identify which parts of the network are estimated to have similar (or different) treatment efficacy and which parts of the network are better identified. We also propose a second method using parametric bootstrapping, where a heat map is used in the visualisation. We use the software R and provide the code used.

Results
We illustrate our new methods using a challenging dataset containing 22 treatments, and a previously fitted model for this data. Two communities of treatments that appear to have similar efficacy are identified. Furthermore using our methods we can identify parts of the network that are better (and less well) identified.

Conclusions
Our new visualisation approaches may be used by network meta-analysts to gain an intuitive understanding of the implications of their fitted models. Our visualisation methods may be used informally, to identify the most salient features of the fitted models that can then be reported, or more formally by presenting the new visualisation devices within published reports.

Item Type: Journal Article
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics
Journal or Publication Title: BMC Medical Research Methodology
Publisher: BioMed Central Ltd.
ISSN: 1471-2288
Official Date: 18 March 2019
Dates:
DateEvent
18 March 2019Published
20 February 2019Accepted
Volume: 19
Number: 1
DOI: 10.1186/s12874-019-0689-9
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)

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