UNSPECIFIED (2000) Unemployment persistence. In: Annual Conference of the Royal-Economic-Society, 1998, UNIV WARWICK, COVENTRY, ENGLAND.

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Abstract

We estimate dynamic panel data models of unemployment incidence for men using the British Household Panel Survey. Econometric issues concerning unobserved indvidual heterogeneity, genuine state dependence, and the initial conditions problem are addressed in detail. We find strong evidence of state dependence consistent with the scarring theory of unemployment-an individual's previous unemployment experience has implications for his future labour market experience. This suggests that policies reducing short run unemployment incidence will have longer-run effects by reducing the equilibrium or natural rate of unemployment.

Item Type:	Conference Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Journal or Publication Title:	OXFORD ECONOMIC PAPERS-NEW SERIES
Publisher:	OXFORD UNIV PRESS
ISSN:	0030-7653
Date:	January 2000
Volume:	52
Number:	1
Number of Pages:	27
Page Range:	pp. 24-50
Publication Status:	Published
Title of Event:	Annual Conference of the Royal-Economic-Society
Location of Event:	UNIV WARWICK, COVENTRY, ENGLAND
Date(s) of Event:	1998
URI:	http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/13654

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