A robust forecasting system, based on the combination of two simple moving averages
UNSPECIFIED. (1999) A robust forecasting system, based on the combination of two simple moving averages. JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 50 (12). pp. 1199-1204. ISSN 0160-5682Full text not available from this repository.
For series with negligible growth and seasonality, simple moving averages are frequently used to estimate the current level of a process, and the resultant value projected as a forecast for future observations. This paper shows that a linear combination of two simple moving averages (SMA) can provide an improved estimate of the underlying level of the process. The proposition is demonstrated by simulation, and good combinations are listed. The theory underlying the improvement is developed. The general rules are then illustrated through an application in an inventory situation.
|Item Type:||Journal Article|
|Subjects:||H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management|
|Journal or Publication Title:||JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY|
|Official Date:||December 1999|
|Number of Pages:||6|
|Page Range:||pp. 1199-1204|
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