Trendl, Anna, Stewart, Neil and Mullett, Timothy L. (2021) Alcohol and the link between national football (soccer) tournaments and domestic abuse - evidence from England. Social Science & Medicine, 268 . 113457. doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113457

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Abstract

Domestic abuse is increasingly recognised as a serious public health concern worldwide. Previous research has suggested a link between national football (soccer) tournaments and domestic abuse. While hypothesized to be a significant factor, the role alcohol plays in this relationship has not yet been explored quantitatively. In this study, using 10 years' worth of crime data (from 2010 to 2019) from the second largest police force in England (West Midlands Police), we explored the effect of England draws, losses, and wins in national football tournaments on the number of alcohol and non-alcohol-related domestic abuse cases reported to the police. Results from a series of negative binomial regression analyses show that the number of reported alcohol-related domestic abuse cases increases by 47%, 95% confidence interval [26%–71%], following an England football victory. This effect is limited to alcohol-related cases. The estimate translates into a 0.53, 95% CI [0.3–0.8], increase in the daily rate of alcohol-related cases per 100,000 individuals. The England win effect survives various robustness checks (including the re-analysis of a dataset from another geographical area in England), and its time course is strongly consistent with a causal link between England's football victories and an increase in alcohol-related domestic abuse. We also found a comparable increase in the number of other (not classified as domestic abuse) alcohol-related violent crimes on England win days. Further research is required to understand the exact causal pathway between national football tournaments, alcohol consumption, and violent behaviours in domestic settings.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GV Recreation Leisure H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare
Divisions:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Soccer -- England, Soccer -- Social aspects -- England, Soccer fans -- Attitudes -- England, Family violence -- England, Women -- Crimes against -- England, Marital violence -- England, Alcoholism -- England, Soccer fans -- Alcohol use -- England
Journal or Publication Title:	Social Science & Medicine
Publisher:	Elsevier
ISSN:	0277-9536
Official Date:	January 2021
Dates:	Date Event January 2021 Published 22 October 2020 Available 14 October 2020 Accepted
Date of first compliant deposit:	26 October 2020
Volume:	268
Article Number:	113457
DOI:	10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113457
Status:	Peer Reviewed
Publication Status:	Published
Access rights to Published version:	Open Access
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:	Project/Grant ID RIOXX Funder Name Funder ID ES/K002201/1 [ESRC] Economic and Social Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000269 ES/P008976/1 [ESRC] Economic and Social Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000269 ES/N018192/1 [ESRC] Economic and Social Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000269 RP2012-V-022 Leverhulme Trust http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000275
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