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International liquidity swaps: is the Chiang Mai Initiative pooling reserves efficiently?

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Kohlscheen, Emanuel and Taylor, Mark P., 1958- (2006) International liquidity swaps: is the Chiang Mai Initiative pooling reserves efficiently? Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick, Department of Economics. (Warwick economic research papers.

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Abstract

We analyze the network of bilateral liquidity swaps (BSAs) among the ASEAN+3 countries. We find that the network has taken the correlation of capital flows in the region into account, in the sense that countries with lower correlation of reserve growth have engaged in larger BSAs. All else equal, a decimal point increase in the correlation of international reserve growth decreases the size of a bilateral swap agreement between 18 and 27%. Moreover, we find that the approximatedly $ 60bn of BSAs have had a limited impact, if any, on government bond spreads so far. Finally, we identify potential gains from inter-regional BSAs.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Liquidity (Economics), International liquidity, Swaps (Finance), Special drawing rights, Insurance
Series Name: Warwick economic research papers
Publisher: University of Warwick, Department of Economics
Place of Publication: Coventry
Date: 2006
Number: No.752
Number of Pages: 25
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Funder: Economic and Social Research Council (Great Britain) (ESRC)
Grant number: R.ECAA0063 (ESRC)
References: Bayoumi, T., Eichengreen, B. (2000) On Regional Monetary Arrangements for ASEAN. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 14, 121-148. Dodsworth, J. R. (1978) International reserve economies in less developed countries. Oxford Economic Papers 30, 2, 277-291. Irwin, G., Penalver, A., Salmon, C. and Taylor, A. (2005) Dealing with country diversity - challenges for the IMF coinsurance model. Mimeo. International Finance Division, Bank of England. Park, Y.C. (2004) Beyond the Chiang Mai Initiative: Prospects for Regional Financial and Monetary Integration in East Asia. Mimeo. Korea University. The joint ministerial statement of the ASEAN+3 finance ministers meeting. May 9, 2001. Honolulu. Rose, A. (2005) One reason countries pay their debt: renegotiation and international trade. Journal of Development Economics. Srivastasa, V. K., Dwivedi, T. D. (1979) Estimation of seemingly unrelated regressions: a brief survey. Journal of Econometrics 10, 15-32. Wooldridge, J. M. (2002) Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. MIT Press. Wright, K. M. (1954) Dollar pooling in the sterling area, 1939-1952. American Economic Review 44, 4, 559-576. Zellner, A. (1961) Econometric estimation with temporally dependent disturbance terms. International Economic Review 2, 164-177.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/1443

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