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Did terrorism affect voting in the Brexit referendum?

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Bove, Vincenzo, Efthyvoulou, Georgios and Pickard, Harry (2021) Did terrorism affect voting in the Brexit referendum? British Journal of Political Science . doi:10.1017/S0007123420000927 (In Press)

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123420000927

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Abstract

This article contributes to the recent research on Brexit and public opinion formation by contending that the determinants of the referendum results should be evaluated against the background of wider public security concerns. The British public has long regarded terrorism as a top concern, more so than in any other European country. Terrorist attacks on UK soil raised voters' awareness of security issues and their saliency in the context of the EU referendum. The study finds that locations affected by terrorist violence in their proximity exhibit an increase in the share of pro-Remain votes, particularly those that experienced more sensational attacks. Using individual-level data, the results show that in the aftermath of terrorist attacks, citizens are more likely to reconsider the security risks involved in leaving the EU.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: D History General and Old World > DA Great Britain
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare
J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): European Union -- Great Britain , Referendum -- Great Britain, Great Britain -- Politics and government -- 2007-, National security -- Great Britain, Terrorism -- Great Britain, Voting -- Great Britain
Journal or Publication Title: British Journal of Political Science
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISSN: 0007-1234
Official Date: 21 April 2021
Dates:
DateEvent
21 April 2021Available
1 December 2020Accepted
DOI: 10.1017/S0007123420000927
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: In Press
Publisher Statement: This article has been accepted for publication in a revised form for publication in British Journal of Political Science. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/british-journal-of-political-science. This version is published under a Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-ND. No commercial re-distribution or re-use allowed. Derivative works cannot be distributed. © Cambridge University Press 2020
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access

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