The real exchange rate misalignment in the five central European countries
Frait, Jan, Komárek, Luboš and Melecky, Martin (2006) The real exchange rate misalignment in the five central European countries. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick, Department of Economics. Warwick economic research papers (No.739).
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The paper focuses on the developments of real exchange rates and their fundamental determinants in the five new EU Member States (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and Slovenia). First, the approaches that can be used for estimation of equilibrium real exchange rates are briefly discussed. Then, we use well-established determinants of real exchange rates associated with the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach to assess misalignments of the real exchange rates for the five new EU Member States. The estimates of the equilibrium exchange rates are obtained by means of both purely statistical approaches (HP filter, band-pass filter) and applying several multivariate estimation methods to our reduced-form BEER model. The results obtained indicate that the tendency towards appreciation of real exchange rates in the economies under consideration have been driven primarily by fundamental determinants.
|Item Type:||Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)|
|Subjects:||H Social Sciences > HG Finance|
|Divisions:||Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics|
|Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):||Foreign exchange rates -- Europe, Eastern, Equilibrium (Economics), International finance, Multivariate analysis, Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions|
|Series Name:||Warwick economic research papers|
|Publisher:||University of Warwick, Department of Economics|
|Place of Publication:||Coventry|
|Number of Pages:||34|
|Status:||Not Peer Reviewed|
|Access rights to Published version:||Open Access|
|Funder:||Grantová agentura České republiky [Grant Agency of the Czech Republic] (GACR)|
ALBEROLA, E. (2003): Real Convergence, External Disequilibria and Equilibrium Exchange Rates in EU Acceding Countries. Bank of Spain.
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