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Data for Temperature variability implies greater economic damages from climate change

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Calel, Raphael, Chapman, Sandra C., Stainforth, David A. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2021) Data for Temperature variability implies greater economic damages from climate change. [Dataset]

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/5AJGH4

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Abstract

A number of influential assessments of the economic cost of climate change rely on just a small number of coupled climate–economy models. A central feature of these assessments is their accounting of the economic cost of epistemic uncertainty—that part of our uncertainty stemming from our inability to precisely estimate key model parameters, such as the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity. However, these models fail to account for the cost of aleatory uncertainty—the irreducible uncertainty that remains even when the true parameter values are known. We show how to account for this second source of uncertainty in a physically well-founded and tractable way, and we demonstrate that even modest variability implies trillions of dollars of previously unaccounted for economic damages.

Item Type: Dataset
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Q Science > QC Physics
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Physics
Type of Data: Modelling data
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Climatic changes -- Economic aspects, Risk -- Mathematical models, Measurement uncertainty (Statistics)
Publisher: University of Warwick, Department of Physics
Official Date: 8 March 2021
Dates:
DateEvent
8 March 2021Created
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Media of Output (format): .R .m
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)
Copyright Holders: University of Warwick
Description:

Data record consists of 22 files, including raw Matlab data in .R and .m format, as well as an accompanying readme file.
Further information on specific data files can be found in the accompanying readme file.

RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
UNSPECIFIEDGrantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Sciencehttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100012731
ES/R009708/1Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, University of Leedshttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100012730
Scholarship Fulbright Associationhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010629
ST/T000252/1[STFC] Science and Technology Facilities Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000271
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Contributors:
ContributionNameContributor ID
DepositorCalel, RaphaelUNSPECIFIED

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