Hate begets warmth? The impact of an anti-Muslim terrorist attack on public attitudes toward Muslims

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Abstract

This article examines the impact of the 15th March 2019 far-right terrorist attack against Muslims in Christchurch, New Zealand on public opinion toward Muslims. It also examines whether the impact of the attack varies for individuals across the political spectrum. We make use of data from the 2019 New Zealand Attitudes and Values Study (N = 47,951) to compare the attitudes of New Zealanders before and after the attack. Using a range of statistical techniques, including regression discontinuity analysis, we find robust evidence that the attack led to an immediate increase in warmth toward Muslims. We also show that this increase was driven by both left-wing/liberal and right-wing/conservative individuals in the immediate days after the attack. Soon after the attack, however, attitudes toward Muslims among the politically conservative population tended to revert to pre-attack levels. By contrast, political liberals maintained their heightened level of positive attitudes for a longer period. We discuss the possible theoretical reasons for these findings.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: D History General and Old World > DU Oceania (South Seas)
H Social Sciences > HM Sociology
H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
J Political Science > JZ International relations
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Muslims -- New Zealand, Right-wing extremists -- New Zealand, Muslims -- Violence against -- New Zealand, Public opinion -- New Zealand, Muslims -- Attitudes
Journal or Publication Title: Terrorism and Political Violence
Publisher: Routledge
ISSN: 0954-6553
Official Date: 2023
Dates:
Date
Event
2023
Published
9 March 2021
Available
13 January 2021
Accepted
8 July 2020
Submitted
Volume: 35
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 156-174
DOI: 10.1080/09546553.2021.1877673
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Re-use Statement: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Terrorism and Political Violence on 9 March 2021, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/09546553.2021.1877673
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 10 March 2021
Date of first compliant Open Access: 9 September 2022
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant ID
RIOXX Funder Name
Funder ID
TRT0196
Templeton Religion Trust
URI: https://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/149620/

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