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Data for Revealing the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya based on serological and PCR-test data
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(2021) Data for Revealing the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya based on serological and PCR-test data. [Dataset]
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/RXAIPS
Abstract
Policy makers in Africa need robust estimates of the current and future spread of SARS-CoV-2. Data suitable for this purpose are scant. We used national surveillance PCR test, serological survey and mobility data to develop and fit a county-specific transmission model for Kenya. We estimate that the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic peaked before the end of July 2020 in the major urban counties, with 34 - 41% of residents infected, and will peak elsewhere in the country within 2-3 months. Despite this penetration, reported severe cases and deaths are low. Our analysis suggests the COVID-19 disease burden in Kenya may be far less than initially feared. A similar scenario across sub-Saharan Africa would have implications for balancing the consequences of restrictions with those of COVID-19.
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Subjects: | R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine R Medicine > RC Internal medicine |
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Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Life Sciences (2010- ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Type of Data: | Observational data | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | COVID-19 (Disease) -- Kenya, COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- -- Kenya, Serology -- Kenya, Covid-19 (Disease) -- Transmission -- Kenya | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Publisher: | University of Warwick, School of Life Sciences | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Official Date: | 10 March 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Status: | Not Peer Reviewed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Media of Output (format): | .tab .pdf .docx | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Copyright Holders: | University of Warwick | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Description: | Data record consists of tabular data, a PDF data dictionary, and an accompanying readme file. Further information on specific data can be found in the accompanying readme file. |
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