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Target insiders' preferences when trading before takeover announcements : deal completion probability, premium and deal characteristics

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Fidrmuc, Jana P. and Xia, Chunling (2022) Target insiders' preferences when trading before takeover announcements : deal completion probability, premium and deal characteristics. European Financial Management, 28 (1). pp. 162-207. doi:10.1111/eufm.12308

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12308

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Abstract

We contribute to the M&A literature by characterizing the information available to target insiders during the pre‐public takeover negotiations. We analyze insider trading in target firms in the US between 2005 and 2018. First, we show that signing confidentiality agreements is an important information threshold. Second, insiders have a good grasp of deal success. They increase their net purchases only in deals with higher completion probability. Third, insiders guess the final offer price well, but their trading strategies additionally reflect their knowledge of deal characteristics. They prefer bidder‐initiated, cash, privately negotiated, and strategic deals. Insiders combine several sources of information.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
SWORD Depositor: Library Publications Router
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Consolidation and merger of corporations, Insider trading in securities , Target marketing
Journal or Publication Title: European Financial Management
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
ISSN: 1354-7798
Official Date: January 2022
Dates:
DateEvent
January 2022Published
24 March 2021Available
14 March 2021Accepted
Volume: 28
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 162-207
DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12308
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Reuse Statement (publisher, data, author rights): "This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Fidrmuc, J.P. and Xia, C. (2021), Target insiders' preferences when trading before takeover announcements : deal completion probability, premium and deal characteristics. Eur Financ Manag. Accepted Author Manuscript. which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12308. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions."
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Related URLs:
  • http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndC...

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