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The Brexit vote, inflation and UK living standards

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Breinlich, Holger, Leromain, Elsa, Novy, Dennis and Sampson, Thomas (2022) The Brexit vote, inflation and UK living standards. International Economic Review, 63 (1). pp. 63-93. doi:10.1111/iere.12541 ISSN 0020-6598.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12541

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Abstract

This article studies how voting for Brexit affected living standards in the United Kingdom. Using heterogeneity in exposure to import costs across product groups, we analyze how the depreciation of sterling caused by the referendum affected consumer prices. We find that the Brexit depreciation led to higher inflation in product groups with greater import shares in consumer expenditure. Our results are consistent with complete pass-through of import costs to consumer prices and imply aggregate exchange rate pass-through of 0.29. We estimate the Brexit depreciation increased consumer prices by 2.9%, costing the average household £870 per year.

Item Type: Journal Article
Alternative Title:
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Great Britain -- Economic conditions -- 20th century, Great Britain -- Foreign relations -- European Union countries, Great Britain -- Politics and government -- 2007-, Uncertainty, Cost and standard of living -- Great Britain
Journal or Publication Title: International Economic Review
Publisher: Wiley
ISSN: 0020-6598
Official Date: February 2022
Dates:
DateEvent
February 2022Published
3 September 2021Available
12 August 2021Accepted
Volume: 63
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 63-93
DOI: 10.1111/iere.12541
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)
Date of first compliant deposit: 25 August 2021
Date of first compliant Open Access: 13 October 2021
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
ES/R001804/1[ESRC] Economic and Social Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000269
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