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Subsidizing the spread of COVID19 : evidence from the UK’s Eat-Out-to-Help-Out scheme
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Fetzer, Thiemo (2022) Subsidizing the spread of COVID19 : evidence from the UK’s Eat-Out-to-Help-Out scheme. The Economic Journal, 132 (642). pp. 1200-1217. doi:10.1093/ej/ueab074 ISSN 0013-0133.
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueab074
Abstract
This paper documents that a large-scale government subsidy aimed at encouraging people to eat out in restaurants in the wake of the first 2020 COVID19 wave in the United Kingdom has had a significant causal impact in on new cases accelerating the subsequent second COVID19 wave. The scheme subsidized 50% off the cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks for an unlimited number of visits in participating restaurants on Mondays-Wednesdays from August 3 to August 31, 2020. Areas with higher take-up saw both, a notable increase in new COVID19 infection clusters within a week of the scheme starting, and again, a deceleration in infections within two weeks of the program ending. Similarly, areas that exhibit notable rainfall during the prime lunch and dinner hours on days the scheme was active record lower infection incidence – a pattern that is also measurable in mobility data – and non-detectable on days during which the discount was not available or for rainfall outside the core lunch and dinner hours.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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| Subjects: | R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine T Technology > TX Home economics |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics | ||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- -- Great Britain, Hospitality industry -- Subsidies -- Great Britain, COVID-19 (Disease) -- Government policy -- Great Britain, COVID-19 (Disease) -- Transmission -- Great Britain | ||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | The Economic Journal | ||||||||
| Publisher: | Oxford University Press | ||||||||
| ISSN: | 0013-0133 | ||||||||
| Official Date: | April 2022 | ||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 132 | ||||||||
| Number: | 642 | ||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 1200-1217 | ||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1093/ej/ueab074 | ||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 14 September 2021 | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 8 December 2021 | ||||||||
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