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Nonlinear discrete-time hazard models for women’s entry into marriage

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Turner, Heather, Batchelor, Andy D. and Firth, David (2022) Nonlinear discrete-time hazard models for women’s entry into marriage. Statistical Modelling, 22 (1-2). pp. 107-126. doi:10.1177/1471082X211062651

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082X211062651

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Abstract

We propose a hazard model for entry into marriage, based on a bell-shaped function to model the dependence on age. We demonstrate near-aliasing in an extension that estimates the support of the hazard and mitigate this via re-parameterization. Our proposed model parameterizes the maximum hazard and corresponding age, thereby facilitating more general models where these features depend on covariates. For data on women's marriages from the Living in Ireland Surveys 1994–2001, this approach captures a reduced propensity to marry over successive cohorts and an increasing delay in the timing of marriage with increasing education.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HQ The family. Marriage. Woman
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Marriage -- Mathematical models, Time-series analysis -- Mathematical models, Marriage -- Psychological aspects, Linear models (Statistics)
Journal or Publication Title: Statistical Modelling
Publisher: SAGE Publications
ISSN: 1471-082X
Official Date: 1 February 2022
Dates:
DateEvent
1 February 2022Published
14 December 2021Available
1 November 2021Accepted
Volume: 22
Number: 1-2
Page Range: pp. 107-126
DOI: 10.1177/1471082X211062651
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
EP/G056323/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266
RES-576-25-5020ESRC National Centre for Research Methods, Lancaster-Warwick NodeUNSPECIFIED
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