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Nonlinear discrete-time hazard models for women’s entry into marriage
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Turner, Heather, Batchelor, Andy D. and Firth, David (2022) Nonlinear discrete-time hazard models for women’s entry into marriage. Statistical Modelling, 22 (1-2). pp. 107-126. doi:10.1177/1471082X211062651 ISSN 1471-082X.
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082X211062651
Abstract
We propose a hazard model for entry into marriage, based on a bell-shaped function to model the dependence on age. We demonstrate near-aliasing in an extension that estimates the support of the hazard and mitigate this via re-parameterization. Our proposed model parameterizes the maximum hazard and corresponding age, thereby facilitating more general models where these features depend on covariates. For data on women's marriages from the Living in Ireland Surveys 1994–2001, this approach captures a reduced propensity to marry over successive cohorts and an increasing delay in the timing of marriage with increasing education.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | |||||||||
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| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HQ The family. Marriage. Woman | |||||||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics | |||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Marriage -- Mathematical models, Time-series analysis -- Mathematical models, Marriage -- Psychological aspects, Linear models (Statistics) | |||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Statistical Modelling | |||||||||
| Publisher: | SAGE Publications | |||||||||
| ISSN: | 1471-082X | |||||||||
| Official Date: | 1 February 2022 | |||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 22 | |||||||||
| Number: | 1-2 | |||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 107-126 | |||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1177/1471082X211062651 | |||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | |||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | |||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | |||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 10 November 2021 | |||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 10 November 2021 | |||||||||
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