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Response to “Limitations in the Hilbert transform approach to locating solar cycle terminators” by R. Booth
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Leamon, Robert J., McIntosh, Scott W., Chapman, Sandra C. and Watkins, Nicholas W. (2021) Response to “Limitations in the Hilbert transform approach to locating solar cycle terminators” by R. Booth. Solar Physics, 296 (10). 151. doi:10.1007/s11207-021-01897-z ISSN 0038-0938.
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WRAP-response-to-“Limitations-in-the-Hilbert-transform-approach-to-locating-solar-cycle-terminators-by-R.-Booth-2021.pdf - Published Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Available under License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0. Download (958Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-021-01897-z
Abstract
Booth (Solar Phys.296, 108, 2021; hereafter B21) is essentially a critique of the Hilbert transform techniques used in our paper (Leamon et al., Solar Phys.295, 36, 2020; hereafter L20) to predict the termination of solar cycles. Here we respond to his arguments; our methodology and parameter choices do extract a mathematically robust signature of terminators from the historical sunspot record. We agree that the attempt in L20 to extrapolate beyond the sunspot record gives a failed prediction for the next terminator of May 2020, and we identify both a possible cause and remedy here. However, we disagree with the B21 assessment that the likely termination of Solar Cycle 24 is two years after the date predicted in L20, and we show why.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics Q Science > QB Astronomy |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Physics | ||||||
| SWORD Depositor: | Library Publications Router | ||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Solar cycle , Solar cycle -- Mathematics, Hilbert transform | ||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Solar Physics | ||||||
| Publisher: | Springer Netherlands | ||||||
| ISSN: | 0038-0938 | ||||||
| Official Date: | 22 October 2021 | ||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 296 | ||||||
| Number: | 10 | ||||||
| Article Number: | 151 | ||||||
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11207-021-01897-z | ||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 10 November 2021 | ||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 12 November 2021 |
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