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Buybacks of domestic debt in public debt management

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Marchesi, Silvia (2000) Buybacks of domestic debt in public debt management. Working Paper. University of Warwick, Department of Economics, Coventry.

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Abstract

In the model a fiscal stabilisation is announced under asymmetry of information between the government and the private investors. The government could be of two types: a dry type and a wet type, according to the amount of spending cuts it decides to make. Private investors may thus lack confidence in the stabilisation program and interest rates would be too high, reflecting this lack of credibility. A dry type which has to finance new spending may want to signal its resolution (type) in order to lower its interest costs and one way to do that would be to repurchase a fraction of the outstanding debt. The wet type could also decide to buyback some of its debt in order to pretend to be a dry type and to (possibly) lower its interest payments. It is showed that a critical amount of buyback exists such that the two types could be separated.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Debts, Public -- Management, Debt equity conversion, Debt relief, Swaps (Finance)
Series Name: Warwick economic research papers
Publisher: University of Warwick, Department of Economics
Place of Publication: Coventry
Date: 25 October 2000
Number: No.573
Number of Pages: 48
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Funder: Fifth Framework Programme (European Commission) (FP5)
Grant number: ERB4001GT973677 (FFP)
References: [1] Acharya S. and Diwan I. (1993) “Debt Buybacks Signal Sovereign Countries’ Creditworthiness: Theory and Tests”. International Economic Review, Vol. 34, pp. 795-817. [2] Bulow J. and Rogoff K. (1988) “The Buyback Boondoggle.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, pp. 675-99. [3] Bulow J. and Rogoff K. (1991) “Sovereign Debt Repurchases: no cure for overhang”. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106, pp. 1219-1235. [4] Cohen D. and Verdier T. (1995) “Secret Buybacks of LDC Debt.” Journal of International Economics, Vol. 39, pp. 317-334. [5] Dicky D. and W.A. Fuller (1979) “Distribution of the Estimates for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 74, pp. 427-431. [6] Dornbusch R. (1991) “Credibility and Stabilisations.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106, pp. 836-850. [7] Drazen, A. (2000) “Political Economy in Macroeconomics.” Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey. [8] Drazen A. and P.R. Masson (1994) “Credibility of policies versus credibility of policymakers.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 109, No. 3, pp. 735-754. [9] Drudi F. and A. Prati (1998) “Signaling Fiscal Regime Sustainability.” Banca d’Italia: Temi di Discussione del Servizio Studi No. 335. [10] Enders W. (1995) “Applied Econometric Time Series.” Wiley Series in probability and statistics. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. [11] Froot K.A. (1989) “Buybacks, Exit Bonds, and the Optimality of Debt and Liquidity Relief.” International Economic Review, Vol. 30, pp. 49-70. [12] Krugman P. (1989) “Market-Based Debt Reduction Schemes.” In Frenkel J.A., Dooley M.P. e Wickham P. (eds), “Analytical Issues in Debt”, Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund. [13] Marchesi S. and J.P. Thomas (1999) “IMF Conditionality as a screening device.” Economic Journal, Vol. 109, pp. 111-125. [14] Missale A. (1999) “Public Debt Management.” Oxford University Press. [15] Missale A., Giavazzi F. and P. Benigno (1997) “Managing the Public Debt in Fiscal Stabilisation: the Evidence.” NBER No. 6311. [16] Financial Times, 5th August 1999. [17] Perron P. (1989) “The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis.” Econometrica, Vol. 57, pp. 461-471. [18] Persson T. and G. Tabellini (1997) “Political Economics and Macroeconomic Policy.” CEPR Discussion Paper No. 1759. [19] Rodrik D. (1989) “Promises, promises: credible policy reform via signalling.” The Economic Journal, Vol. 99, pp. 756-772. [20] Rotemberg J.J. (1991) “Sovereign debt buybacks can lower bargaining costs.” Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 10, pp. 330-348. [21] Thomas J.P. (1996) “Sovereign Debt Buybacks revisited.” Global Economic Institutions (GEI) Working Paper, No. 20. [22] Zivot E. and D.W.K. Andrews (1992) “Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Vol. 10, pp. 251-270.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/1605

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