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Staggered wages and output dynamics under disinflation

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Ascari, Guido and Rankin, Neil (2000) Staggered wages and output dynamics under disinflation. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick, Department of Economics. (Warwick economic research papers.

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Abstract

We study the output costs of a reduction in monetary growth in a dynamic general equilibrium model with staggered wages. The money wage is fixed for two periods, and is chosen according to intertemporal optimisation. Agents have labour market monopoly power. We show that the introduction of microfoundations helps to resolve the puzzle raised by directly postulated models, namely that disinflation in staggered pricing models causes a boom. In our model disinflation, whether unanticipated or anticipated, unambiguously causes a slump.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Deflation (Finance), Wages -- Effect of inflation on, Production standards, Equilibrium (Economics)
Series Name: Warwick economic research papers
Publisher: University of Warwick, Department of Economics
Place of Publication: Coventry
Date: March 2000
Number: No.557
Number of Pages: 38
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Funder: Fifth Framework Programme (European Commission) (FP5), Københavns universitet. Økonomiske institut (KU)
Grant number: ERBFMBICT961073 (FFP)
References: Ascari, G., 1998, Superneutrality of Money in Staggered Wage Setting Models, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2, 383-400. Ascari, G., 2000, Optimising Agents, Staggered Wages and Persistence in the Real Effects of Monetary Shocks, forthcoming in (July 2000 issue) The Economic Journal. Ball, L., 1994, Credible Disinflation with Staggered Price-Setting, American Economic Review, 84, 282-289. Bénabou, R., and Konieczny, J.D., 1994, On Inflation and Output with Costly Price Changes: A Simple Unifying Result, American Economic Review, 84, 290-297. Bhaskar, V., 1998, On Endogenously Staggered Prices, discussion paper no. 9806, Dept of Economics, University of St Andrews Blanchard, O.J., 1983, Price Asynchronization and Price Level Inertia, in Inflation, Debt and Indexation, Dornbusch, R. and M. H. Simonsen eds, Cambridge, Mass., MIT Press, pp. 3-24. Blanchard, O.J., and Fischer, S., 1989, Lectures on Macroeconomics, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Blanchard, O.J., and Summers, L.H., 1988, Beyond the Natural Rate Hypothesis, American Economic Review, 78, 182-187. Brock, W.A., 1974, Money and Growth: The Case of Long-Run Perfect Foresight, International Economic Review 15, 750-757 Buiter, W. and Miller, M., 1985, Costs and Benefits of an Anti-Inflationary Policy: Questions and Issues, in Argy, V. and Neville, J. (eds.), Inflation and Unemployment: Theory, Experience and Policy Making, Allen and Unwin, London Calvo, G.A., 1983a, Staggered Prices in a Utility-Maximizing Framework, Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, 383-398. Calvo, G. A., 1983b, Staggered contracts and exchange rate policy, in: Frenkel, J. A., ed., Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics, pp. 235 - 252, Chicago, University of Chicago Press. Chari, V.V. , Kehoe, P.T., McGrattan, E.R., 1996, Sticky Price Models of the Business Cycle: Can the Contract Multiplier Solve the Persistence Problem ?, NBER Working Paper no. 5809. Chiang, A.C., 1974, Fundamental Methods of Mathematical Economics (2nd edition), Tokyo, McGraw-Hill Kogakusha Cho, J.O. and Cooley, T.F., 1995, The Business Cycle with Nominal Contracts, Economic Theory, 6, 13-33. Danziger, L., 1988, Costs of Price Adjustment and the Welfare Economics of Inflation and Disinflation, American Economic Review, 78, 633-646. Driffill, E.J. and Miller, M.H., 1993, Learning and Inflation Convergence in the ERM, Economic Journal, 103, 369-378. Grossman, S.J., 1987, Monetary Dynamics with Proportional Transactions Costs and Fixed Payment Periods, in Barnett, W.A. and Singleton, K.J., eds., New Approaches to Monetary Economics, Cambridge University Press. Ireland, P.N., 1995, Optimal Disinflationary Paths, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 19, 1429-1448. Kimball, M.S., 1995, The Quantitative Analytics of the Basic Neomonetarist Model, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1241-1277. Lucas, R.E., 1988, Money Demand in the United States: A Quantitative Review, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 29, 137-168 Miller, M.H. and Sutherland, A., 1993, Contracts, Credibility and Common Knowledge: Their Influence on Inflation Convergence, IMF Staff Papers, 40, 178-201. Rankin, N., 1998, Nominal Rigidity and Monetary Uncertainty, European Economic Review, 42, 185-199. Romer, D., 1990, Staggered Price Setting with Endogenous Frequency of Adjustment, Economics Letters, 32, 205-210. Sutherland, A., 1996, Financial Market Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 98, 521-539. Taylor, J.B., 1979, Staggered Wage Setting in a Macro Model, American Economic Review, 69, 108-113. Taylor, J.B., 1980, Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts, Journal of Political Economy, 88, 1-23. Woodford, M., 1998, Control of the Public Debt: A Requirement for Price Stability?, in G. Calvo and M. King (eds.), The Debt Burden and its Consequences for Monetary Policy, St Martin’s Press, New York Yun, T., 1996, Nominal Price Rigidity, Money Supply Endogeneity and Business Cycles, Journal of Monetary Economics, 37, 345-370.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/1620

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