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Time-inconsistent candidates vs. time-inconsistent voters: imperfect policy commitment in political equilibrium

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Pani, Marco and Perroni, Carlo (1999) Time-inconsistent candidates vs. time-inconsistent voters: imperfect policy commitment in political equilibrium. Working Paper. University of Warwick, Department of Economics, Coventry.

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Abstract

This paper examines whether policy commitment mechanisms, when available, will be used by the elected policymaker in a political-economy equilibrium. We describe a two-period repeated voting model where second-period outcomes depend on commitment choices made by an elected policymaker in the first period, and where elected candidates may choose to deviate from their preferred level of commitment, retaining discretionary control of policy variables, in order to secure a favourable second-period political outcome. The implications of different political tenure systems for the candidates who are elected, the policy targets that are selected, the degree of commitment to their implementation, and the policies that are actually implemented in the model are examined.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Voting research, Economic policy, Policy sciences, Choice (Psychology), Commitment (Psychology)
Series Name: Warwick economic research papers
Publisher: University of Warwick, Department of Economics
Place of Publication: Coventry
Date: October 1999
Number: No.544
Number of Pages: 25
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Description: First draft, March 1998; this version, October 1999
References: Aghion, Philippe, and Patrick Bolton (1990) \Government Domestic Debt and the Risk of Default: A Political-Economic Model of the Strategic Role of Debt," in Dornbusch, Rudiger, and Draghi, Mario (eds.), Public debt management: Theory and history, Cambridge, New York and Melbourne: Cambridge University Press, 315-45. Alesina, Alberto, and Guido Tabellini (1990) \A Positive Theory of Fiscal Deficits and Government Debt," Review of Economic Studies 57, 403-414. Besley, Timothy J., and Stephen Coate (1998) \Sources of Inefficiency in a Representative Democracy: A Dynamic Analysis," American Economic Review 88, 139-156. Besley, Timothy J., and Stephen Coate (1997) \An Economic Model of Representative Democracy," Quarterly Journal of Economics 112, 185-114. Cremer, Jacques, and Thomas R. Palfrey (1996) \In or Out?: Centralization by Majority Vote," European Economic Review 40, 43-60. Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria (1995) \The Disadvantage of Tying Their Hands: On the Political Economy of Policy Commitments," Economic Journal 105, 1381-1402. Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria, and Enrico Spolaore (1994) \How Cynical Can an Incumbent Be? Strategic Policy in a Model of Government Spending," Journal of Public Economics 55, 121-140. Osborne, Martin J., and Al Slivinski (1996) \A Model of Political Competition with Citizen-Candidates," Quarterly Journal of Economics 111, 65-96. Persson, Torsten, and Lars E.O. Svensson (1989) \Why a Stubborn Conservative Would Run a Deficit: Policy with Time-Inconsistent Preferences," Quarterly Journal of Economics 104, 325-345.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/1633

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