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Reconstructing social mixing patterns via weighted contact matrices from online and representative surveys
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Koltai, Júlia, Vasarhelyi, Orsolya, Röst, Gergely and Karsai, Márton (2022) Reconstructing social mixing patterns via weighted contact matrices from online and representative surveys. Scientific Reports, 12 (1). 4690. doi:10.1038/s41598-022-07488-7 ISSN 2045-2322.
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WRAP-reconstructing-social-mixing-patterns-via-weighted-contact-matrices-online-representative-survey-Vasarhelyi-2022.pdf - Published Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Available under License Creative Commons Attribution 4.0. Download (2634Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07488-7
Abstract
The unprecedented behavioural responses of societies have been evidently shaping the COVID-19 pandemic, yet it is a significant challenge to accurately monitor the continuously changing social mixing patterns in real-time. Contact matrices, usually stratified by age, summarise interaction motifs efficiently, but their collection relies on conventional representative survey techniques, which are expensive and slow to obtain. Here we report a data collection effort involving over 2.3% of the Hungarian population to simultaneously record contact matrices through a longitudinal online and sequence of representative phone surveys. To correct non-representative biases characterising the online data, by using census data and the representative samples we develop a reconstruction method to provide a scalable, cheap, and flexible way to dynamically obtain closer-to-representative contact matrices. Our results demonstrate that although some conventional socio-demographic characters correlate significantly with the change of contact numbers, the strongest predictors can be collected only via surveys techniques and combined with census data for the best reconstruction performance. We demonstrate the potential of combined online-offline data collections to understand the changing behavioural responses determining the future evolution of the outbreak, and to inform epidemic models with crucial data.
Item Type: | Journal Article | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Subjects: | B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BF Psychology H Social Sciences > HM Sociology R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine |
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Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Centre for Interdisciplinary Methodologies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SWORD Depositor: | Library Publications Router | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020-, COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- -- Hungary -- Social aspects, Behaviorism (Psychology), Behavioral assessment , Human behavior , Social psychology , Social networks, COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- -- Hungary -- Simulation methods | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Scientific Reports | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Publisher: | Nature Publishing Group | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ISSN: | 2045-2322 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Official Date: | 18 March 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Number: | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Article Number: | 4690 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-022-07488-7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 14 April 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 19 April 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant: |
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