Boero, Gianna and Torricelli, Costanza (1998) Tests of the expectations hypothesis and policy reaction to the term spread: some comparative evidence. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick, Department of Economics. Warwick economic research papers (No.512).

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the impact of monetary policy in tests of the Expectations Hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates. We apply the model developed by McCallum (1994b), in which the Expectations Hypothesis interacts with a policy reaction function and with a time-varying term premium, to eight countries with different monetary policy stances, within the period 1985 to 1995. The results suggest the importance of the treatment of monetary policy in explaining the empirical performance of the Expectations Hypothesis. Amongst other results, we also find that the model performs better for some countries than others depending upon the monetary policy stance adopted.

Item Type:	Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Rational expectations (Economic theory), Interest rates, Monetary policy, Economics -- Mathematical models
Series Name:	Warwick economic research papers
Publisher:	University of Warwick, Department of Economics
Place of Publication:	Coventry
Official Date:	July 1998
Dates:	Date Event July 1998 Published
Number:	No.512
Number of Pages:	28
Status:	Not Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version:	Open Access
Funder:	Consiglio nazionale delle ricerche (Italy) (CNR)
Grant number:	CNR97.01050.CT10 (CNR), CNR97.01211.CT10 (CNR)

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