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Morbidity from diarrhoea, cough and fever among young children in Nigeria

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Kandala, Ngianga-Bakwin, Ji, Chen, Stallard, Nigel, Stranges, Saverio and Cappuccio, Francesco P.. (2008) Morbidity from diarrhoea, cough and fever among young children in Nigeria. Annals of Tropical Medicine & Parasitology, Vol.102 (No.5). pp. 427-445. ISSN 0003-4983

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1179/136485908X300797

Abstract

Diarrhoea, cough and fever are the leading causes of childhood morbidity and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Despite it being a determinant of mortality in many developing countries, geographical location has seldom been considered as an explanatory factor for the large regional variations seen in the childhood morbidity attributed to these causes in this area. The relevant data collected in two Nigerian Demographic and Health Surveys, one in 1999 and the other in 2003, have now therefore been analysed and compared. The aim was to reveal and explore inequalities in the health of Nigerian children by mapping the spatial distribution of childhood morbidity associated with recent diarrhoea, cough and fever and accounting for important risk factors, using a Bayesian geo-additive model based on Markov-chain–Monte-Carlo techniques. Although the overall prevalences of recent diarrhoea, cough and fever recorded in 1999 (among children aged ,3 years) were similar to those seen in 2003 (among children aged ,5 years), the mapping of residual spatial effects indicated that, in each survey, the morbidity attributable to each of these causes varied, differently, at state level. Place of birth (hospital v. other), type of feeding (breastfed only v. other), parental education, maternal visits to antenatal clinics, household economic status, marital status of mother and place of residence were each significantly associated with the childhood morbidity investigated. In both surveys, children from urban areas were found to have a significantly lower risk of fever than their rural counterparts. Most other factors affecting diarrhoea, cough and fever differed in the two surveys. The risk of developing each of these three conditions increased in the first 6–8 months after birth but then gradually declined. The analysis explained a significant share of the pronounced residual spatial effects. Maps showing the prevalences of diarrhoea, cough and fever in young children across Nigeria were generated during this study. Such maps should facilitate the development of policies to fulfil the Millennium Development Goals in Nigeria and throughout sub-Saharan Africa.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: R Medicine > RJ Pediatrics > RJ101 Child Health. Child health services
Divisions: Faculty of Medicine > Warwick Medical School > Clinical Sciences Research Institute (CSRI)
Faculty of Medicine > Warwick Medical School > Health Sciences
Faculty of Medicine > Warwick Medical School > Metabolic and Vascular Health
Faculty of Medicine > Warwick Medical School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Children -- Death -- Nigeria
Journal or Publication Title: Annals of Tropical Medicine & Parasitology
Publisher: Maney Publishing
ISSN: 0003-4983
Date: July 2008
Volume: Vol.102
Number: No.5
Number of Pages: 19
Page Range: pp. 427-445
Identification Number: 10.1179/136485908X300797
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Description: Final version (published as open access).
References: Anon. (2002). Child Survival in Nigeria: Situation, Response and Prospects, Key Issues. Durham, NC: Constella Futures. Anon. (2005). Gas Flaring in Nigeria. A Human Rights, Environmental and Economic Monstrosity. Amsterdam: Climate Justice Programme, Friends of the Earth International. Anon. (2006). Niger Delta Human Development Report. New York, NY: United Nations Development Programme. Brezger, A., Kneib, T. & Lang, S. (2005). BayesX: analyzing Bayesian structured additive regression models. Journal of Statistical Software, 14, 1–22. Fahrmeir, L. & Lang, S. (2001). Bayesian inference for generalized additive mixed models based on Markov random field priors. Applied Statistics, 50, 201–220. Kandala, N.-B. (2006). Bayesian geo-additive modeling of childhood morbidity in Malawi. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 22, 139–154. Kandala, N.-B. & Ghilagaber, G. (2006). A geo-additive Bayesian discrete-time survival model and its application to spatial analysis of childhood mortality in Malawi. Quality and Quantity, 40, 935–957. Kandala, N.-B. & Madise, N. J. (2004). Spatial epidemiology of childhood diseases in Malawi and Zambia. African Population Studies, 19 (Suppl. B), 199–226. Kandala, N.-B., Magadi, M. A. &Madise, N. J. (2006). An investigation of district spatial variations of childhood diarrhea and fever morbidity in Malawi. Social Science and Medicine, 62, 1138–1152. Magadi, M. A. (1997). Status of Women and Infant/child Health in Kenya with particular Reference to the High Mortality Zone in Nyanza Province. Accra: Union for African Population Studies. Magadi, M. A., Madise, N. J. & Rodrigues, R. N. (2000). Frequency and timing of antenatal care in Kenya: explaining the variations between women of different communities. Social Science and Medicine, 51, 551–561. Olaogun, A. A., Adebayo, A. A., Ayandiran, O. E. & Olasode, O. A. (2006). Effects of mother5s socio– economic status on the management of febrile conditions in their under five children in a resource limited setting. BMC International Health and Human Rights, 6, 1. Woldemicael, G. (2001). Diarrhoea morbidity among young children in Eritrea: environmental and socioeconomic determinants. Journal of Health, Population, and Nutrition, 19, 83–90. World Health Organization (1996). Childhood Diseases in Africa. Fact Sheet No. 109. Geneva: WHO. Yohannes A. G., Streatfield, K. & Bost, L. (1992). Child morbidity patterns in Ethiopia. Journal of Biosocial Science, 24, 143–155.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/169

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