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Localising change points in piecewise polynomials of general degrees

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Yu, Yi, Chatterjee, Sabyasachi and Xu, Haotian (2022) Localising change points in piecewise polynomials of general degrees. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 16 (1). pp. 1855-1890. doi:10.1214/21-EJS1963 ISSN 1935-7524.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1214/21-EJS1963

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Abstract

In this paper we are concerned with a sequence of univariate random variables with piecewise polynomial means and independent sub-Gaussian noise. The underlying polynomials are allowed to be of arbitrary but fixed degrees. All the other model parameters are allowed to vary depending on the sample size.

We propose a two-step estimation procedure based on the ℓ0-penalisation and provide upper bounds on the localisation error. We complement these results by deriving global information-theoretic lower bounds, which show that our two-step estimators are nearly minimax rate-optimal. We also show that our estimator enjoys near optimally adaptive performance by attaining individual localisation errors depending on the level of smoothness at individual change points of the underlying signal. In addition, under a special smoothness constraint, we provide a minimax lower bound on the localisation errors. This lower bound is independent of the polynomial orders and is sharper than the global minimax lower bound.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Polynomials , Stochastic analysis , Nonparametric statistics
Journal or Publication Title: Electronic Journal of Statistics
Publisher: Institute of Mathematical Statistics
ISSN: 1935-7524
Official Date: 21 March 2022
Dates:
DateEvent
21 March 2022Published
6 December 2021Accepted
Volume: 16
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 1855-1890
DOI: 10.1214/21-EJS1963
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)
Date of first compliant deposit: 4 October 2022
Date of first compliant Open Access: 4 October 2022
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
EP/V013432/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266

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