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Development and evaluation of two approaches of visual sensitivity analysis to support epidemiological modeling

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Rydow, Erik, Borgo, Rita, Fang, Hui, Torsney-Weir, Thomas, Swallow, Ben, Porphyre, Thibaud, Turkay, Cagatay and Chen, Min (2022) Development and evaluation of two approaches of visual sensitivity analysis to support epidemiological modeling. IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics . doi:10.1109/tvcg.2022.3209464 ISSN 1077-2626. (In Press)

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1109/tvcg.2022.3209464

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Abstract

Computational modeling is a commonly used technology in many scientific disciplines and has played a noticeable role in combating the COVID-19 pandemic. Modeling scientists conduct sensitivity analysis frequently to observe and monitor the behavior of a model during its development and deployment. The traditional algorithmic ranking of sensitivity of different parameters usually does not provide modeling scientists with sufficient information to understand the interactions between different parameters and model outputs, while modeling scientists need to observe a large number of model runs in order to gain actionable information for parameter optimization. To address the above challenge, we developed and compared two visual analytics approaches, namely: algorithm-centric and visualization-assisted , and visualization-centric and algorithm-assisted . We evaluated the two approaches based on a structured analysis of different tasks in visual sensitivity analysis as well as the feedback of domain experts. While the work was carried out in the context of epidemiological modeling, the two approaches developed in this work are directly applicable to a variety of modeling processes featuring time series outputs, and can be extended to work with models with other types of outputs.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA76 Electronic computers. Computer science. Computer software
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine
T Technology > T Technology (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Centre for Interdisciplinary Methodologies
SWORD Depositor: Library Publications Router
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- , COVID-19 (Disease) -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models, Visual analytics , Computer graphics , Visualization
Journal or Publication Title: IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics
Publisher: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
ISSN: 1077-2626
Official Date: 29 September 2022
Dates:
DateEvent
29 September 2022Available
18 July 2022Accepted
DOI: 10.1109/tvcg.2022.3209464
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: In Press
Reuse Statement (publisher, data, author rights): © 2022 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 12 October 2022
Date of first compliant Open Access: 13 October 2022
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
EP/V054236/1UK Research and Innovationhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100014013
EP/V054236/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266
UNSPECIFIEDScottish Governmenthttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100012095
ANR-16-IDEX-0005[ANR] Agence Nationale de la Recherchehttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001665
ANR-16-IDEX-0005Boehringer Ingelheimhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100008349
Lyon VPH HubUniversité de LyonUNSPECIFIED

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