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Numerical issues in threshold autoregressive modelling of time series

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Coakley, Jerry, Fuertes, Ana-Maria and Pérez, Maria-Teresa (2001) Numerical issues in threshold autoregressive modelling of time series. Working Paper. Warwick Business School Financial Econometrics Research Centre, University of Warwick.

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Official URL: http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/wbs/research/wfr...

Abstract

This paper analyses the contribution of various numerical approaches to making the estimation of threshold autoregressive time series more efficient. It relies on the computational advantages of QR factorizations and proposes Givens transformations to update these factors for sequential LS problems. By showing that the residual sum of squares is a continuous rational function over threshold intervals it develops a new fitting method based on rational interpolation and the standard necessary optimality condition. Taking as benchmark a simple grid search, the paper illustrates via Monte Carlo simulations the efficiency gains of the proposed tools.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School > Financial Econometrics Research Centre
Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Time-series analysis, Factorization (Mathematics), Interpolation
Series Name: Working Papers Series
Publisher: Warwick Business School Financial Econometrics Research Centre
Place of Publication: University of Warwick
Date: 2001
Volume: Vol.2001
Number: No.9
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/1819

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