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How do UK-based foreign exchange dealers think their market operates?
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Cheung, Yin-Wong, Chinn, Menzie David and Marsh, Ian W. (1999) How do UK-based foreign exchange dealers think their market operates? Working Paper. Warwick Business School Financial Econometrics Research Centre, University of Warwick.
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Official URL: http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/wbs/research/wfr...
Abstract
This paper summarises the results of a survey of UK based foreign exchange dealers conducted in 1998. It addresses topics in three main areas: The microeconomic operation of the foreign exchange market; the beliefs of dealers regarding the importance, or otherwise, of macroeconomic fundamental factors in affecting exchange rates; microstructure factors in FX. We find that heterogeneity of traders’ beliefs is evident from the results but that it is not possible to explain such disagreements in terms of institutional detail, rank or trading technique (e.g. technical analysts versus fundamentalists). As expected, nonfundamental factors are thought to dominate short horizon changes in exchange rates, but fundamentals are deemed important over much shorter horizons that the mainstream empirical literature would suggest. Finally, market ‘norms’ and behavioural phenomena are very strong in the FX market and appear to be key determinants of the bid-ask spread.
| Item Type: | Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper) |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HG Finance |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School > Financial Econometrics Research Centre Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School |
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Foreign exchange -- Great Britain, Brokers -- Great Britain |
| Series Name: | Working Papers Series |
| Publisher: | Warwick Business School Financial Econometrics Research Centre |
| Place of Publication: | University of Warwick |
| Date: | June 1999 |
| Volume: | Vol.1999 |
| Number: | No.21 |
| Status: | Not Peer Reviewed |
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access |
| Funder: | University of Strathclyde |
| URI: | http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/1827 |
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