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Nonlinear time series analysis of the stock exchange: The case of an emerging market

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UNSPECIFIED (1995) Nonlinear time series analysis of the stock exchange: The case of an emerging market. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS, 5 (6). pp. 1557-1584. ISSN 0218-1274

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Abstract

The extent to which daily return data from the Athens' Stock Exchange Index exhibits nonlinear and chaotic characteristics is investigated by employing multiple tests from both the Economics' and the Natural Sciences' fields. The BDS test and Rescale Range (R/S) analysis provide evidence for non-linearity and fractality due to noisy chaos, respectively, while methods of chaotic dynamics, like correlation dimension and related tests, as well as, Lyapunov exponents, give consistent results, which do not rule out the possibility of deterministic chaos. The occurrence of a simple low-dimensional attractor, is not supported. However, noise filtered data by the use of SVD analysis and FIR filters, gives reliable evidence for the existence of an underlying dynamical system with a limited number of degrees-of-freedom.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Q Science
Journal or Publication Title: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS
Publisher: WORLD SCIENTIFIC PUBL CO PTE LTD
ISSN: 0218-1274
Date: December 1995
Volume: 5
Number: 6
Number of Pages: 28
Page Range: pp. 1557-1584
Publication Status: Published
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/19165

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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