The Library
Co-ordination failure, moral hazard and sovereign bankruptcy procedures
Tools
Ghosal, Sayantan and Miller, Marcus, 1941- (2003) Co-ordination failure, moral hazard and sovereign bankruptcy procedures. Working Paper. University of Warwick. Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation, Coventry.
|
PDF
WRAP_Ghosal_wp11203.pdf - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader Download (615Kb) |
Official URL: http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/csgr/research/wo...
Abstract
We study a model of sovereign debt crisis that combines problems of creditor co-ordination and debtor moral hazard. Solving the sovereign debtor’s incentives leads to excessive ‘rollover failure’ by creditors when sovereign default occurs. We discuss how the incidence of crises might be reduced by international sovereign bankruptcy procedures, involving ‘contractibility’ of sovereign debtor’s payoffs, suspension of convertibility in a ‘discovery’ phase and penalties in case of malfeasance. In relation to the current debate, this is more akin to the IMF’s Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism than the Collective Action Clauses promoted by others.
| Item Type: | Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper) |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics Faculty of Social Sciences > Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation |
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Debts, Public, Moral hazard, State bankruptcy, International finance, Debtor and creditor |
| Series Name: | Working papers (University of Warwick. Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation) |
| Publisher: | University of Warwick. Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation |
| Place of Publication: | Coventry |
| Date: | 24 March 2003 |
| Number: | No.112 |
| Number of Pages: | 36 |
| Status: | Not Peer Reviewed |
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access |
| Funder: | Economic and Social Research Council (Great Britain) (ESRC), University of Warwick. Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation (CSGR) |
| Grant number: | R000239216 (ESRC) |
| References: | [1] Aghion, Ph., Ph. Bacchetta and A. Banerjee (2000), ‘A Simple Model of Monetary Policy and Currency Crises’, European Economic Review, vol. 44, pp.728-38. [2] Barro, R.(1998). ‘The IMF Doesn’t Put Out Fires, It Starts Them’, Business Week (December 7), p. 18. [3] Bartholemew, E., E. Stern and A. Liuzzi (2002). ‘Two-step Sovereign Debt Restructuring’, Mimeo. New York: JP Morgan Chase and co. [4] Birdsall, N. and J. Williamson (2002). Delivering on Debt Relief: From IMF Gold to a New Aid Architecture, Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics. [5] Bulow, J., K. Rogoff (1989a). ‘A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt’, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 97(1), pp. 155-78. [6] Bulow, J. and K. Rogoff (1989b). ‘Sovereign Debt: Is to Forgive to Forget?’, American Economic Review, vol.79(1), pp. 43-50. [7] Bulow, J. and K. Rogoff (1990). ‘Cleaning up third-world debt without getting taken to the cleaners.’ Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 4(1), pp.31-42. [8] Buchheit, L. (1999). ‘A Lawyer’s Perspective on the New International Financial Architecture’, Journal of International Banking Law, vol.14(7), pp. 225-9. [9] Buchheit, L. and G. Mitu Gulati (2000). ‘Exit Consents in Sovereign Bond Exchanges’, UCLA Law Review, vol. 48, pp. 59-84. [10] Buchheit, L. and G. Mitu Gulati (2002). ‘Sovereign Bonds and the Collective Will’, Working Paper No. 34. Georgetown University Law Center, Washingtion D.C. [11] Calvo, G. (1999). ‘Contagion in Emerging Markets: When Wall Street is a Carrier’, Mimeo. [12] Calvo, G., A. Izquierdo and E. Talvi (2002). ‘Sudden Stops, the Real Exchange Rate and Fiscal Sustanability: Argentina’s Lessons’, Mimeo. Inter-American Development Bank (July). [13] Cline, W. and K. Barnes (1997). “Spreads and Risks in Emerging Market Lending”, Washington, D.C.: Institute of International Finance, December. [14] Cooper, R. N. (1998). ‘Should Capital-Account Convertibility Be a World Objective?’ In P. Kenen et al. (1998). Should the IMF pursue capital-account convertibility? Essays in International Finance, No. 201 (May), Princeton University. [15] Cordella, T. (1998). ‘Can Short-term Capital Controls Promote Capital Inflows’, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2011. [16] Diamond, D. and P. Dybvig (1983). ‘Bank runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity’, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 91, pp. 401-19. [17] Eaton, J. (2002). ‘Standstills and an International Bankruptcy Court’, Paper presented to Bank of England Conference on “The Role of the Official and Private Sectors in Resolving International Financial Crises”. Mimeo, New York University (July). [18] Eichengreen, B. (1999). Toward a New Financial Architecture: A Practical Post-asia Agenda, Washington, D.C: Institute for International Economics. [19] Eichengreen, B. and M. Bordo (2001). ‘Crises Now and Then: What Lessons from the Last Era of Financial Globalization?’. Mimeo. Forthcoming in P Mizen (ed) Monetary History, Exchange rates and Financial Markets: Essays in Honour of Charles Goodhart, Chapter 3, Volume 2, Northampton: Edward Elgar. [20] Eichengreen, B. and R. Portes (1995). Crisis? What crisis? Orderly workouts for Sovereign Debtors, London: CEPR. [21] Fischer, S. (1999). ‘On the Need for an International Lender of Last Resort’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 13(4), pp. 85-104. [22] Goldstein, M. (1997). The Case for an International Banking Standard, Washingtion D.C.:IIE [23] Group of Ten Report (The Rey Report) (1996). The Resolution of Sovereign Liquidity Crises, Washington D.C.: IMF. [24] Harsanyi, J. and R. Selten (1984). Equilibrium selection in Games, New York: John Wiley. [25] Hellman, T., K.Murdock and J. Stiglitz (2000). ‘Liberalization, Moral Hazard in Banking and Prudential Regulation: Are Capital Requirements Enough?’ American Economic Review, vol. 90(1), pp. 147-65. [26] Jeanne, O.. (2001). ‘Sovereign Debt Crises and the International Financial Architecture’, Mimeo. IMF (December). [27] Jeanne, O. and J. Zettelmeyer (2001). ‘International Bailouts, Moral Hazard and Conditionality’, Economic Policy: A European Forum, vol.0(33), pp. 407-24. [28] Kaminsky, G. and C. Reinhart (1999). ‘The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems’. American Economic Review, vol. 89, pp.473-500. [29] Kiyotaki, N. and J. Moore (1997), ‘Credit Cycles’, Journal of Political Economy, vol.105, pp.211-248. [30] Kletzer, K. and B. Wright (2000). ‘Sovereign Debt as Intertemporal Barter’, American Economic Review, vol. 90(3), pp. 621-39. [31] Kremer, M. and S. Jayachandran (2001). ‘Odious Debt’, Mimeo, Harvard University, (November). [32] Krugman, P. (1998). ‘Saving Asia: It’s Time to Get Radical’, Fortune, 7 September, pp. 33-8. [33] Krueger, A. (2001). ‘International Financial Architecture for 2002: A New Approach to Sovereign Debt Restructuring’, Mimeo, IMF. [34] Krueger, A. (2002). A New Approach to Sovereign Debt Restructuring. International Monetary Fund: Washington D.C. [35] Masson, P. (1999). ‘Contagion: monsoonal effects, spillovers and jumps between multiple equilibria’, in Agenor et al (eds.), The Asian Financial Crisis: Causes, Contagion and Consequences, Cambrige: Cambridge University Press. [36] Miller, M. (2002). ‘Sovereign Debt Restructuring: New Articles, New Contracts — or No Change?’, International Economics Policy Briefs, No. PB02-3, Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics. [37] Miller, M. and L. Zhang (2000). ‘Sovereign Liquidity Crises: The Strategic Case for a Payments Standstill’, ECONOMIC JOURNAL, vol. 100(460), pp. 335-62. [38] Morris, S. and H. Shin (1998). ‘Unique Equilibrium in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Currency Attacks’, American Economic Review, Vol. 88(3), pp. 587-97. [39] Peck, J. and K. Shell (2003). ‘Sunspots in a model of bank runs’, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 111(1), pp. 103-123. [40] Radelet, S. and J. Sachs (1998). ‘The East Asian Financial Crisis: Diagnosis, Remedies and Prospects’, Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 1, pp. 1-90. [41] Rodrik, D. (1998). ‘Who Needs Capital-account Convertibility’, In P. Kenen et al. (1998). Should the IMF pursue capital-account convertibility? Essays in International Finance, No. 201 (May), Princeton University. [42] Rogoff, K. and J. Zettelmeyer (2002). ‘Early ideas on Sovereign Bankruptcy: A Survey’, IMF Working Paper, No. 57, Washington, D.C. [43] Rogoff, K. (1999) ‘International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13(4), pp. 24-42. [44] Sachs, J. (1995). ‘Do We Need an International Lender of Last Resort?’, mimeo, Princeton University. [45] Sachs, J., A. Tornell and A.Velasco (1996). ‘The Mexican Peso Crisis: Sudden death or death foretold?’, Journal of International Economics, vol. 41, pp.265-83. [46] Smalhout, J. (2001). ‘Cavallo High Stakes Confidence Game’, Euromoney, (May). [47] Soros, G. (1998). Crisis of Global Capitalism. New York: Public Affairs Press. [48] Stigltiz, J. (1998). ‘Boats, Planes and Capital Flows’, Financial Times, March 25. [49] Stiglitz, J. (2002a). ‘Sovereign Bankruptcy: Notes on Theoretical Frameworks and Policy Analyses’, Mimeo, Columbia University. [50] Stiglitz, J. (2002b). Globalization and its discontents. London: Penguin Books. [51] Taylor, J. (2002). ‘Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A US Perspective’, Mimeo, Department of the Treasury, Washington D.C. (April). [52] Thomas, J. (2002). ‘Bankruptcy Proceedings for Sovereign State Insolvency and their Effect on Capital Flows’, Mimeo, University of Edinburgh (November). [53] Tirole, J. (2002). Financial Crises, Liquidity and the International Monetary System, Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press. [54] Tobin, J. (1999). ‘Financial Globalization: Can National Currencies Survive?’, Cowles Foundation Paper No. 985, Yale University. [55] Truman E. (2001). ‘Perspectives on External Financial Crises’, Mimeo. Washington D.C.: Institute for International Economics (December). [56] Williamson, J. (1995). ‘The Management of Capital Inflows’, Pensamiento Iberoamericano, (January-June). [57] Williamson, J. (1999). ‘Implications of the East Asian Crisis for Debt Management’, Mimeo. (Available at www.iie.com.) |
| URI: | http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/2008 |
Actions (login required)
![]() |
View Item |
Tools
Tools

