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Modelling and assessing local area differences in road casualties: a case study in England
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Hindle, Giles A., Hindle, T. and Souli, S. (2009) Modelling and assessing local area differences in road casualties: a case study in England. Journal of the Operational Research Society, Vol.60 (No.6). pp. 781-788. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602623 ISSN 0160-5682.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602623
Abstract
The context of this research is the governmental targeting of road casualty reductions in England. Local authorities have a major role to play in achieving such targets and this research explores the relationships between road casualties and local authority characteristics such as population, road networks, traffic, and geography. Regression models are identified for types of road casualty to provide local area expectations against which observed numbers can be compared. A number of issues are identified that raise concerns about the current methods adopted for assessing road safety performances and about the implementation of this approach at local levels. These issues include the large impact on assessments of judgements of casualty severity and of estimates of starting point casualties when estimating reductions over time. This study leads to recommendations for ways in which current approaches to road casualty appraisal might be improved. Journal of the Operational Research Society (2009) 60, 781-788. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602623 Published online 28 May 2008
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||
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Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management | ||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School | ||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of the Operational Research Society | ||||
Publisher: | Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. | ||||
ISSN: | 0160-5682 | ||||
Official Date: | June 2009 | ||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | Vol.60 | ||||
Number: | No.6 | ||||
Number of Pages: | 8 | ||||
Page Range: | pp. 781-788 | ||||
DOI: | 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602623 | ||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access |
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