Use of simulation to determine resource requirements for end-stage renal failure
Davies , Ruth (2006) Use of simulation to determine resource requirements for end-stage renal failure. In: 2006 Winter Simulation Conference, Monterey, California, 03-06 Dec 2006. Published in: Proceedings of the 2006 Winter Simulation Conference, Vols 1-5 pp. 473-477.Full text not available from this repository.
All Western countries are taking increasing numbers of patients onto their renal programs. Physicians now accept older and sicker patients than they would have done in the past. A discrete event simulation describes patient arrivals and the transfer between three modalities of treatment for different age and risk groups in order to project future demands for treatment. In the UK, at the national level the main uncertainty arises from the expected number of new patients, which is on an upward trajectory and has not yet reached the level of most other European countries or the USA. At a local level the uncertainties are much greater because of the inherent randomness in smaller populations. In these smaller populations, simpler modeling methods that only take account of new arrivals, transplant and death rates may be equally valuable, providing that the standard deviations of the estimates can be calculated.
|Item Type:||Conference Item (Paper)|
|Subjects:||Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA76 Electronic computers. Computer science. Computer software|
|Divisions:||Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School|
|Journal or Publication Title:||Proceedings of the 2006 Winter Simulation Conference, Vols 1-5|
|Number of Pages:||5|
|Page Range:||pp. 473-477|
|Access rights to Published version:||Restricted or Subscription Access|
|Conference Paper Type:||Paper|
|Title of Event:||2006 Winter Simulation Conference|
|Type of Event:||Conference|
|Location of Event:||Monterey, California|
|Date(s) of Event:||03-06 Dec 2006|
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