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The learning cost of interest rate reversals

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Ellison, Martin. (2006) The learning cost of interest rate reversals. JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 53 (8). pp. 1625-1637. ISSN 0304-3932

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.08.017

Abstract

Many central banks in many time periods have sought to avoid interest rate reversals, but at present there is no good explanation of this phenomenon. Our analysis identifies a new learning cost associated with reversing the interest rate. In a standard monetary model with forward-looking expectations, data uncertainty and parameter uncertainty, a policy that frequently reverses the interest rate makes learning the key parameters of the model more difficult. Optimal monetary policy internalises this learning cost and therefore has a lower number of interest rate reversals. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Journal or Publication Title: JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS
Publisher: ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
ISSN: 0304-3932
Date: November 2006
Volume: 53
Number: 8
Number of Pages: 13
Page Range: pp. 1625-1637
Identification Number: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.08.017
Publication Status: Published
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/32575

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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