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Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations

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Keeling, Matthew James, Danon, Leon, Vernon, Matthew C. and House, Thomas A.. (2010) Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations. National Academy of Sciences. Proceedings, Vol.107 (No.19). pp. 8866-8870. ISSN 0027-8424

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1000416107

Abstract

The theory of networks has had a huge impact in both the physical and life sciences, shaping our understanding of the interaction between multiple elements in complex systems. In particular, networks have been extensively used in predicting the spread of infectious diseases where individuals, or populations of individuals, interact with a limited set of others—defining the network through which the disease can spread. Here for such disease models we consider three assumptions for capturing the network of movements between populations, and focus on two applied problems supported by detailed data from Great Britain: the commuter movement of workers between local areas (wards) and the permanent movement of cattle between farms. For such metapopulation networks, we show that the identity of individuals responsible for making network connections can have a significant impact on the infection dynamics, with clear implications for detailed public health and veterinary applications.

Item Type:

Journal Article

Subjects:

Q Science > QA Mathematics
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine

Divisions:

Faculty of Science > Life Sciences (2010- ) > Biological Sciences ( -2010)
Faculty of Science > Mathematics

Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):

Communicable diseases -- Transmission, Communicable diseases -- Mathematical models, Social sciences -- Network analysis, Commuters -- Mathematical models, Cattle -- Mathematical models

Journal or Publication Title:

National Academy of Sciences. Proceedings

Publisher:

National Academy of Sciences

ISSN:

0027-8424

Official Date:

11 May 2010

Dates:

Date	Event
11 May 2010	Published

Volume:

Vol.107

Number:

No.19

Number of Pages:

Page Range:

pp. 8866-8870

Identifier:

10.1073/pnas.1000416107

Status:

Peer Reviewed

Access rights to Published version:

Open Access

Funder:

Wellcome Trust (London, England), Medical Research Council (Great Britain) (MRC), Research and Policy for Infectious Disease Dynamics Program

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