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El Niño and the delayed action oscillator

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Boutle, Ian, Taylor, Richard H. S. and Roemer, Rudolf A.. (2007) El Niño and the delayed action oscillator. American Journal of Physics, Vol.75 (No.1). pp. 15-24. ISSN 0002-9505

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1119/1.2358155

Abstract

We study the dynamics of the El Niño phenomenon using the mathematical model of delayedaction oscillator (DAO). Topics such as the influence of the annual cycle, global warming, stochastic influences due to weather conditions and even off-equatorial heat-sinks can all be discussed using only modest analytical and numerical resources. Thus the DAO allows for a pedagogical introduction to the science of El Niño and La Niña while at the same time avoiding the need for large-scale computing resources normally associated with much more sophisticated coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models. It is an approach which is ideally suited for student projects both at high school and undergraduate level.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: Q Science > Q Science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Science > Centre for Scientific Computing
Faculty of Science > Physics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): El Niño current, Ocean currents -- Pacific Ocean -- Models
Journal or Publication Title: American Journal of Physics
Publisher: American Association of Physics Teachers
ISSN: 0002-9505
Date: January 2007
Volume: Vol.75
Number: No.1
Page Range: pp. 15-24
Identification Number: 10.1119/1.2358155
Status: Peer Reviewed
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
References: [1] Oswald Blackwood, American Journal of Physics 11, 349 (1943). [2] B. Schmittmann and R. K. P. Zia, American Journal of Physics 67, 1269 (1999). [3] CNN, El Ni˜no returns: an online companion to CNN’s special coverage, http://www.cnn.com/SPECIALS/el.nino/, 1997. [4] Curt Suplee, National Geographic Magazine (1998), http://www.nationalgeographic.com/elnino/mainpage.html. [5] Mark Saunders, El Ni˜no and La Ni˜na: Impacts and Predictions, BBC Weather, 2001, http://www0.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/el nino2.shtml. [6] J. Picaut, F. Masia, and Y. du Penhoat, Science 277, 663 (1997). [7] K.-M. Kim and K.-M. Lau, http://atmospheres .gsfc.nasa.gov/contact/work/tbo/tbogrl.pdf (2000). [8] Max J. Suarez and Paul S. Schopf, J. Atmos. Sci. 45, 3283 (1988). [9] Warren B. White, Yves M. Tourre, Mathew Barlow, and Mike Dettinger, Journal of Geophysical Research 108, 3070 (2003). [10] G. Burgers and D.B. Stephenson, Geophys. Res. Lettrs, 26, 1027 (1998). [11] S. George Philander, El Ni˜no, La Ni˜na, and the Southern Oscillation, Vol. 46 of International Geophysics Series (Academic Press, London, 1990). [12] National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NOAA El Ni˜no Home Page, http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/. [13] Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, El Ni˜no and La Ni˜no Home Page, http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/lib/elninolinks/. [14] R. Sari Kovats, Menno J. Bouma, Shakoor Hajat, Eve Worrall, and Andy Haines, The Lancet (2003). [15] Pierre Madl, Environmental Physics 437 (2000). [16] J. Soares, I. Wainer, and N. C. Wells, Ann. Geophys. 17, 827 (1999). [17] Allan Hayes, NDelayDSolve.m, Wolfram Research, 2004, http://library.wolfram.com/infocenter/MathSource/725/. [18] Stephen E. Zebiak and Mark A. Cane, Mon. Wea. Rev. 115, 2262 (1987). [19] David Strozzi, BA thesis, Princeton University, 1999. [20] T.C. Johns, J.M. Gregory, W.J. Ingram, C.E. Johnson, A. Jones, J.A. Lowe, J.F.B. Mitchell, D.L. Roberts, D.M.H. Sexton, D.S. Stevenson, S.F.B. Tett, and M.J. Woodage, Climate Dynamics 20, 583 (2003). [21] K. Hasselmann, Tellus 28, 473 (1976). [22] Gretchen Vogel and Andrew Lawler, Science 280, 1684 (1998). [23] A. Timmermann, J. Oberhuber, A. Bacher, M. Esch, M. Latif, and E. Roeckner, Nature 398, 694 (1999). [24] Adrian E. Gill, in Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics, Vol. 30 of International Geophysics Series, edited by William L. Donn (Academic Press, San Diego, 1982). [25] James R. Holton, An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology, Vol. 88 of International Geophysics Series (Elsevier Academic Press, San Diego, 2004). [26] S. Fred Singer, Is There a Connection Between El Ni˜no and Global Temperatures?, http://www.sepp.org/scirsrch/elnino.html, (1999). [27] We remark that a simple sinusoidal term will also suffice for most purposes. [28] We remark that the issue of the interplay between global warming and El Ni˜no is rather controversial and various differing opinions are offered [26]. [29] If a single-fluid model of the ocean with depth H = 4000m had been assumed throughout, then c = pgH 200ms−1. This Tsunami-like speed is clearly absurd for the purposes of this project, hence the need for the more sophisticated two-fluid model.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/332

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