UNSPECIFIED. (2006) Forecasting for intermittent demand: the estimation of an unbiased average. JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 57 (5). pp. 588-592. ISSN 0160-5682

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Abstract

The majority of the range of items held by many stockists exhibit intermittent demand. Accurate forecasting of the issue rate for such items is important and several methods have been developed, but all produce biased forecasts to a greater or lesser degree. This paper derives the bias expected when the order arrivals follows a Poisson process, which leads to a correction factor for application in practice. Extensions to some other arrival processes are briefly considered.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Journal or Publication Title:	JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY
Publisher:	PALGRAVE MACMILLAN LTD
ISSN:	0160-5682
Date:	May 2006
Volume:	57
Number:	5
Number of Pages:	5
Page Range:	pp. 588-592
Identification Number:	10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602031
Publication Status:	Published
URI:	http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/33672

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