Thinking the unthinkable as a radical scientific project
Fuller, Steve. (2010) Thinking the unthinkable as a radical scientific project. Critical Review (Philadelphia): a journal of politics and society, Vol.22 (No.4). pp. 397-413. ISSN 0891-3811
WRAP_Fuller_2_9970067-so-020811-tetlock_paper_(1).pdf - Accepted Version - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08913811.2010.541691
Philip Tetlock underestimates the import of his own Expert Political Judgment. It is much more than a critical scientific evaluation of the accuracy and consistency of political pundits. It also offers a blueprint for challenging expertise more generally-in the name of scientific advancement. "Thinking the unthinkable" - a strategy Tetlock employs when he gets experts to consider counterfactual scenarios that are far from their epistemic comfort zones - has had explosive consequences historically for both knowledge and morality by extending our sense of what is possible. Thinking the unthinkable might also put into question contemporary assumptions about the legitimacy of science.
|Item Type:||Journal Article|
|Subjects:||J Political Science > JA Political science (General)|
|Divisions:||Faculty of Social Sciences > Sociology|
|Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):||Political science -- Forecasting|
|Journal or Publication Title:||Critical Review (Philadelphia): a journal of politics and society|
|Page Range:||pp. 397-413|
|Access rights to Published version:||Restricted or Subscription Access|
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