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Should investors include commodities in their portfolios after all? New evidence

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Daskalaki, Charoula and Skiadopoulos, George. (2011) Should investors include commodities in their portfolios after all? New evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol.35 (No.10). pp. 2606-2626. ISSN 0378-4266

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.02.022

Abstract

This paper investigates whether an investor is made better off by including commodities in a portfolio that consists of traditional asset classes. First, we revisit the posed question within an in-sample setting by employing mean-variance and non-mean-variance spanning tests. Then, we form optimal portfolios by taking into account the higher order moments of the portfolio returns distribution and evaluate their out-of-sample performance. Under the in-sample setting, we find that commodities are beneficial only to non-mean-variance investors. However, these benefits are not preserved out-of-sample. Our findings challenge the alleged diversification benefits of commodities and are robust across a number of performance evaluation measures, utility functions and datasets. The results hold even when transaction costs are considered and across various sub-periods. Not surprisingly, the only exception appears over the 2005-2008 unprecedented commodity boom period.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Asset allocation, Commodity futures, Capitalists and financiers
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Banking & Finance
Publisher: Elsevier Science BV
ISSN: 0378-4266
Date: October 2011
Volume: Vol.35
Number: No.10
Page Range: pp. 2606-2626
Identification Number: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.02.022
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/38512

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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