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How the UK economy weathered the financial storm

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Sentance, Andrew, Taylor, Mark P., 1958- and Wieladek, Tomasz. (2012) How the UK economy weathered the financial storm. Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol.31 (No.1). pp. 102-123. ISSN 02615606

Full text not available from this repository.
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.11.007

Abstract

Prior to the global financial crisis of 2008, the UK had the largest banking sector asset to GDP ratio among large countries, and had experienced rapid real property price increases as well as a persistent current account deficit in the preceding decade. These factors, together with its role as an international financial centre, made the UK economy particularly vulnerable to the onset of the global financial crisis. Although the initial drop in real GDP was steep, we provide evidence that the economy has weathered the financial storm better than many feared, and has fared no worse than its peer group of major economies. In this paper we assess the reasons underlying this outcome, including the possibility of exaggerated vulnerabilities, global economic recovery, the flexible supply side of the UK economy, as well as fiscal, financial and monetary policy interventions. Our analysis suggests that all of these factors played a role in cushioning the impact on the UK real economy, leading to a more benign outcome than most observers expected.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation
Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School > Strategy & International Business
Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): International finance, Financial crises, Money, Great Britain -- Economic conditions
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of International Money and Finance
Publisher: Elsevier BV
ISSN: 02615606
Date: February 2012
Volume: Vol.31
Number: No.1
Page Range: pp. 102-123
Identification Number: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.11.007
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
References: Batini, N., Turnbull, K., 2000. Monetary conditions indices for the UK: a survey. External MPC Unit Discussion Paper No. 1, Bank of England. Benati, L., 2007. The ‘great moderation’ in the United Kingdom. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 39 (1), 121–147. Chiu, A., Wieladek, T. On the stylised facts about real GDP revisions during recessions. External MPC Unit Discussion Paper, forthcoming-a. Chiu, A., Wieladek, T. Is the ‘Great Recession’ really so different from the past? External MPC Unit Discussion Paper, forthcoming-b. Dale, S., 2011. MPC in the dock. Speech by Spencer Dale at the National Asset-liability Management Conference, London on 24 March 2011. Eichengreen, B., O’Rourke, K.H., 2010. A Tale of Two Depressions. Voxeu.org (8 March 2010). Faust, J., Rogers, J.H.,Wright, J., 2005. News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 37 (3), 403–417. Gamberoni, E., Von Uexhull, E., Weber, S., 2010. The roles of openness and labor market institutions for employment dynamics during economic crises. World Bank Premise 29, 1–5. Giannone, D., Lenza, M., Reichlin, L., 2011. Market freedom and the global recession. IMF Economic Review 59 (1), 111–135. Joyce, M., Lasaosa, A., Stevens, I., Tong, M., 2010. The financial market impact of quantitative easing. Bank of England Working Paper 393. Kennedy, N., Van Riet, A., 1995. A Monetary Conditions Index for the Major EU Countries: a Preliminary Investigation. European Monetary Institute – MESD Mimeo. Kim, H., Taylor, M.P. Large datasets, factor-augmented and factor-only vector autoregressive models, and the economic consequences of Mrs Thatcher. Economica, forthcoming. Kubelec, C., Sa, F., 2010. The geographical composition of national external balance sheets: 1980–2005. Bank of England Working Paper 384. Massone, M., Walton, D., 1999. Sterling and the Conduct of UK Monetary Policy. The UK Economics Analyst. Miles, D., 2004. The Miles Report on the UK Mortgage Market. Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer. Sentance, A., 2010. Getting back to business. Speech at the CBI/Bank of England Lunch in Belfast on 24 November 2010. Sentance, A., 2011. The UK’s inflation problem: selling England by the pound? Speech at the IEA State of the Economy Conference on 17 February 2011. Shin, H., 2009. Reflections on Northern Rock: the bank run that heralded the global financial crisis. Journal of Economic Perspectives 23 (1), 101–119. Weale, M., 2011. Uncertain uncertainty. Speech to Institute of Actuaries 17 February 2011.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/41100

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